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Prediction markets for X1

What will be the final net IRR for Thoma Bravo XV? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.04%chance

62250

OptionProbability

NO

YES

449

249

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.71%chance

112191

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1183

892

What will be the final net IRR for Berkshire Fund X? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.25%chance

72148

OptionProbability

NO

YES

464

271

What will be the final net IRR for Carlyle Partners VIII? (X100)

Dec 2, 7:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

52033

OptionProbability

NO

YES

409

269

What will be the final net IRR for Vector Capital VI? (X100)

Dec 2, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.25%chance

42024

OptionProbability

NO

YES

415

236

Will there be a X15 or higher class solar flare observed during solar cycle 25?

Mar 3, 6:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.88%chance

4229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

37

What will be the final net IRR for Genstar Capital XI? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.2%chance

4145

OptionProbability

NO

YES

408

239

Wich Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of houshold tasks.

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10109

OptionProbability

Other

Figure

Open AI

XPeng Robotics

Tesla

Unitree

Mentee

Galbot

X1

Boston Dynamics

Samsung

LG

Honda

Xiaomi

Amazon

Agility Robotics

25

18

14

11

7

6

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

What will be the final net IRR for Apollo Investment Fund X? (X100)

Dec 7, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.85%chance

2105

OptionProbability

NO

YES

375

196

What will be the final net IRR for Siris Partners V? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63%chance

4104

OptionProbability

NO

YES

386

251

What will be the final net IRR for Blackstone IX? (X100)

Dec 9, 8:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.86%chance

487

OptionProbability

NO

YES

395

245

What will be the final net IRR for Symphony Technology Group VII? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.21%chance

561

OptionProbability

NO

YES

388

283

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