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Prediction markets for X1

What will be the final net IRR for Thoma Bravo XV? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.04%chance

62250

OptionProbability

NO

YES

449

249

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.71%chance

112191

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1183

892

What will be the final net IRR for Berkshire Fund X? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.25%chance

72148

OptionProbability

NO

YES

464

271

What will be the final net IRR for Carlyle Partners VIII? (X100)

Dec 2, 7:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

52033

OptionProbability

NO

YES

409

269

What will be the final net IRR for Vector Capital VI? (X100)

Dec 2, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.25%chance

42024

OptionProbability

NO

YES

415

236

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16267

OptionProbability

X1

Other

Tesla

Unitree

Figure

UBTech

XPeng Robotics

Mentee

Open AI

Xiaomi

Galbot

Samsung

Amazon

Boston Dynamics

LG

Honda

Agility Robotics

21

16

13

12

12

9

5

3

2

2

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will there be a X15 or higher class solar flare observed during solar cycle 25?

Mar 3, 6:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.34%chance

5249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

57

What will be the final net IRR for Genstar Capital XI? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.2%chance

4145

OptionProbability

NO

YES

408

239

What will be the final net IRR for Apollo Investment Fund X? (X100)

Dec 7, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.85%chance

2105

OptionProbability

NO

YES

375

196

What will be the final net IRR for Siris Partners V? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63%chance

4104

OptionProbability

NO

YES

386

251

What will be the final net IRR for Blackstone IX? (X100)

Dec 9, 8:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.86%chance

487

OptionProbability

NO

YES

395

245

What will be the final net IRR for Symphony Technology Group VII? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.21%chance

561

OptionProbability

NO

YES

388

283

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