OptionProbability
Trump says Xiaohongshu (or tries to)
Another Pandemic
Major Volcanic Eruption (â„6 on VEI scale)
Bitcoin Market Cap > US GDP (or this happens with another cryptocurrency)
X (Formerly Twitter) revives Vine
A law granting legal rights to AI systems is passed in a UN Member State or a US State
X 8.00 Solar flare [or higher]
A large-scale cyberattack cripples financial systems, causing a global economic meltdown
Elon Flips to Democrat
OpenAI Nationalized
US Buys or Invades Greenland
Discovery of Alien Life
GTA 6 released
6
4
3
2
1
six months or longer
six months
a month
two weeks
within a week
71
11
8
7
Discord
Twitch
VerSe Innovation Josh
Baidu Tieba
Rakuten Viber
PageBites imo
Xiaohongshu
Likee
Picsart
Vevo
VK
Pinterest
Line by Naver
Threads
Bluesky
Microsoft Teams
Tumblr
Manifold
Quora
Microsoft Skype
74
59
50
46
40
38
26
20
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
576
17
399
25
