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Prediction markets for XP

What will the successor to o3 be called?

Jan 6, 4:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5735923

OptionProbability

GPT-5

o4

Other

o5

o-xp

o-vista

o9

agi-1

83

12

5

0

0

0

0

0

Will someone win the Healthspan XPRIZE of 101m restoring muscle, cognition, immune function by minimum 10yrs by 2030?

Nov 29, 11:58 PMDec 7, 7:59 AM

27.95%chance

9442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1484

1113

Will XPRIZE award at least $61 million to a team for reversing aging?

Nov 30, 6:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.51%chance

487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

78

Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?

Sep 22, 11:40 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.86%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

94

51

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