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Top stories

Zach Bryan Bars Kansas City Shows After Clash With Chiefs Fans

Authors

5

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Ye

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

3%chance

10767082674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11022

1935

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.19%chance

8024167899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3663

1798

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

6.06%chance

4631710990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6263

1698

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.09%chance

293621569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2835

2565

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4175

1332

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2025 Person of the Year?

Dec 6, 1:02 PMDec 11, 7:59 AM

554252140

OptionProbability

Robert Prevost / Pope Leo XIV

Other

[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Benjamin Netanyahu

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Elon Musk

Vladimir Putin

[Any variation of "The Victims of War"]

[Any variation of "The Courts"]

[Any variation of "Trump Prosecutors"]

Beyonce

Gavin Newsom

AOC

33

22

21

7

5

3

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?

Aug 16, 1:44 AMJun 17, 6:59 AM

67.18%chance

191142497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159534

34939

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.39%chance

86134411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108928

17670

Will Ye (Kanye West) come out as transgender or nonbinary by the end of Transgender Day of Remembrance?

Apr 11, 1:10 AMNov 21, 5:59 AM

5.45%chance

321250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

680

101

Ye Stock (Permanent)

Nov 20, 10:28 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

241186

OptionProbability

NO

YES

505

382

Will Ye West (Kanye West) be charged of any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 16, 2:36 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

44.8%chance

241154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

380

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

11380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

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