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Prediction markets for Yes

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74%chance

293621218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2825

2569

This market has a 1/1000 chance of resolving YES each day.

May 16, 11:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

4343754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9564

74

Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029

Jun 14, 4:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

99%chance

2824011

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9950

101

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

Will I support Israel (Yes) or Palestine (No) after talking to Manifold?

Jul 31, 6:14 PMAug 30, 5:48 PM

55%chance

17918904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

985

934

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.14%chance

599061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

735

Nuclear War 2025: How many of the linked markets resolve Yes?

Aug 12, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

87242

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

4-5

6-8

9-12

13-17

82

8

2

2

2

2

2

2

Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?

Aug 12, 7:05 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

175229

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

4-5

6-7

60

17

7

6

6

4

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Apr 22, 2:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

50.74%chance

421678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

115

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

11380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

51

49

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 72 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

53.48%chance

886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES

Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM

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