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Prediction markets for Yield

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96%chance

166526

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4899

204

10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.97%chance

186303

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6954

144

10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?

Jan 3, 2:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.42%chance

165083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5192

193

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 5% before 2028?

Sep 25, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.68%chance

44970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2215

652

Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?

Jan 16, 9:02 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

6.78%chance

134499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3707

270

30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?

May 30, 7:20 PMJan 19, 11:59 AM

98.85%chance

184097

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3517

28

U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Oct 10, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.16%chance

113506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2120

1829

Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2028?

Oct 1, 8:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.96%chance

72257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1652

471

Will 30-year treasury yields go above 6% before 2027?

Oct 7, 11:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.76%chance

12929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

857

U.S. 10 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?

Oct 1, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.22%chance

5439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

970

If any nuclear weapons are detonated by 2028, will any have a yield above 50 megatons?

Nov 8, 9:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.78%chance

17401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

937

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

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