YouTube Shorts News

4 months ago

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?

Jan 9, 2:03 PMJan 1, 6:11 PM

23.06%chance

7831018

OptionVotes

YES

1551

741

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2026?

Jan 5, 12:53 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

9.1%chance

679163

OptionVotes

YES

3015

502

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

64.71%chance

305306

OptionVotes

YES

1285

789

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2026?

Jan 17, 7:49 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3.6%chance

164438

OptionVotes

YES

4516

671

Kidology Stock (Permanent)

Feb 22, 7:21 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

262767

OptionProbability

YES

564

500

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2027?

Jan 18, 8:55 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

8.57%chance

181812

OptionVotes

YES

1934

842

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

1191

841

Is RLHF good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]

Mar 15, 2:32 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

40.14%chance

411547

OptionVotes

YES

1053

924

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2027?

Jan 18, 8:48 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

29.25%chance

16991

OptionVotes

YES

1067

615

Will Belgium break apart before 2034?

Sep 15, 10:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.83%chance

18736

OptionVotes

YES

1422

926

Year 3Blue1Brown uploads an explainer that is mostly AI-generated?

Dec 12, 9:25 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

9486

OptionProbability

Will not happen before 1 Jan 2029

2026

2027

2028

2025

2024

Automatic shortening feature on YouTube before 2029

May 20, 10:43 PMJan 6, 7:59 AM

70.74%chance

6124

OptionVotes

YES

198

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Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2026?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2026?

Kidology Stock (Permanent)

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2027?

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Is RLHF good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2027?

Will Belgium break apart before 2034?

Year 3Blue1Brown uploads an explainer that is mostly AI-generated?

Automatic shortening feature on YouTube before 2029

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