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Prediction markets for Zeal

New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)

May 25, 10:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

1719876

OptionProbability

National Party

Labour Party

Green Party

ACT New Zealand

Te Pati Maori

New Zealand First Party

Other

64

31

2

1

1

1

0

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

1517851

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

54

40

3

3

Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?

Jun 20, 12:33 AMOct 31, 10:59 AM

1716836

OptionProbability

Chris Hipkins

Christopher Luxon

Other

Winston Peters

49

46

3

2

Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?

Feb 26, 8:10 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

76%chance

213625

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1355

751

By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?

Jul 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

15.66%chance

202781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

770

Will New Zealand allow any nuclear bombs or nuclear reactors inside its territory before 2030?

Dec 12, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.49%chance

282209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2837

553

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

81263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Will New Zealand change its flag by 2030?

Sep 10, 1:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

12.56%chance

241154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1878

781

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Sep 10, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.73%chance

15799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

894

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Aug 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

31.51%chance

13429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

966

Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?

Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM

40.51%chance

5310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

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