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Prediction markets for 10X

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:13 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

64.03%chance

3014622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13282

8380

In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

Feb 1, 5:55 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

43.35%chance

10411212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

752

598

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.74%chance

10477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

108

There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027

May 1, 12:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.69%chance

12429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1150

950

During what year will the cost of CO2 sequestration per tonne drop by 10x from 2023 prices?

Oct 24, 3:53 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM

8424

OptionProbability

2030s

2040s

2060-2099

2050s

2026-2029

>=2100

2025

2024

29

23

23

21

17

12

11

6

[Amplified 10x] How many stars will be on the official flag of China on Mar 1? [Resolves to PROB]

Jan 16, 3:26 AMMar 2, 12:00 AM

50%chance

5332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

This market resolves to PROB equals 10x the percentage of the US human population that declare being romantic involved with some AI in 2050.

Jan 25, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.49%chance

9265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

216

100

Inflation: What is the ratio of a 2033 US dollar to a 2023 US dollar? (10x)

Aug 4, 4:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

55.93%chance

6102

OptionProbability

YES

NO

369

270

By when will SAT solvers be 10x faster (than 2023 on same hardware)?

Nov 25, 3:49 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

2030

2040

2100

40

40

21

Will the relative ratio of FRO to academia funding 10x between 2025 and 2027?

Oct 27, 12:30 AM

00

If immortality for humans (10x the current lifespan, or more) was POSSIBLE, would you want it accessible to EVERYONE?

Dec 23, 9:21 AM

880

Is immortality for humans (10x the current lifespan, or more) a goal we should pursue in the first place?

Dec 22, 8:26 PM

2170

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