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Prediction markets for 150

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Jul 21, 6:56 PMJul 19, 6:59 AM

94%chance

9749466949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

21499

8636

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

58.26%chance

210112310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1644

1145

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 20, 10:07 AMJun 15, 1:03 AM

21.73%chance

6137278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

776

Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?

Dec 13, 7:58 PMJan 1, 3:00 AM

13.36%chance

15429506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4091

1496

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJun 1, 5:59 AM

63.95%chance

7029169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1488

313

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

May 12, 1:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.19%chance

8826327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

981

Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?

Oct 29, 6:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.94%chance

11215158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5257

4578

Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years?

Oct 8, 5:24 PMOct 15, 10:59 PM

61.82%chance

475623

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

220

Will I be able to purchase 1 kg of tungsten for under 150$ by 2028?

Mar 9, 4:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

165456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14919

6703

Oil $150 before GTA VI

Mar 21, 7:16 AMMar 21, 7:16 AM

36.11%chance

134529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

752

Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?

Dec 13, 8:43 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.78%chance

443299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2063

206

Will “Vance” rise at least 150 places in the 2025 American baby name rankings?

Nov 10, 4:38 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

54.22%chance

8219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

919

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