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Prediction markets for 20m

# YouTube views for "We're not ready for superintelligence" at EOY 2025?

Jul 14, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

147250

Will a country implement Universal Basic Income as a permanent policy by 2030?

Mar 4, 12:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

46.06%chance

431372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1131

794

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:47 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

18.39%chance

29941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

959

Will someone win the Healthspan XPRIZE of 101m restoring muscle, cognition, immune function by minimum 10yrs by 2030?

Nov 29, 11:58 PMDec 7, 7:59 AM

27.95%chance

9442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1484

1113

How many uses will the Heart Emoji have on Bluesky at the end of 2025?

Jun 1, 6:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3419

How many USD will the Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) pay out in 2025?

Aug 5, 7:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3146

OptionProbability

<4M USD

8M>6M USD

6M>4M USD

12M>10M USD

10M>8M USD

14M>12M USD

>20M USD

16M>14M USD

20M>18M USD

18M>16M USD

22

20

14

12

11

9

6

4

2

2

What will be the valuation of Memorang if acquired?

Jul 1, 3:48 PMDec 31, 4:48 PM

160

20M bounty for following me

Jan 5, 10:09 PM

00

Anime Figurine Meme Trend

Dec 27, 4:09 PM

00

Recommend me bands that sound similar

Jan 9, 8:45 PM

00

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