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Prediction markets for 20th Century

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.44%chance

473985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1439

695

Who will be the last 20th century US Senator?

May 10, 12:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82930

OptionProbability

Patty Murray (1993)

Ron Wyden (1996)

Mike Crapo (1999)

Chuck Schumer (1999)

Susan Collins (1997)

Jack Reed (1997)

Chuck Grassley (1981)

Dick Durbin (1997)

Mitch McConnell (1985)

26

17

16

15

12

9

3

1

1

Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?

Jan 23, 10:17 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

62.5%chance

362837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

876

What will be the world's RESERVE CURRENCY by 2035?

Jun 3, 3:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

422315

OptionProbability

US dollar

XAU - Gold

BTC - Bitcoin

CNY - Chinese Yuan

Euro

a new BRICS currency

EUR - European Union Euro

ETH - Ethereum

JPY - Japanese Yen

GBP - British Pound

USDC

Other

Bitcoin

USDT (Tether)

Dai

West African CFA franc

56

19

14

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will Japan no longer be a developed country by 2050?

Aug 27, 2:11 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.34%chance

151222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

710

Will the toothbrush mustache (as most commonly associated with Adolf Hitler) regain popularity by the end of 2025?

Jan 21, 2:12 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

3.87%chance

8656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

498

20

What decade will humanity establish the first permanent colony on the Moon?

Sep 4, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14655

OptionProbability

2040 - 2050

2030 - 2040

After 2070

2060 - 2070

2050 - 2060

Between now and 2030

44

34

8

6

5

3

Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?

Dec 10, 12:20 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

91%chance

12525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1265

942

Are we getting less intelligent? Will our IQ scores get lower from now onwards? Are we headed for idiocracy?

Sep 3, 8:52 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.22%chance

23500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

893

Is the downward secular trend in female puberty mostly genetic?

Apr 8, 2:58 AMApr 9, 6:59 AM

10.05%chance

12376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

926

In what year will a nuclear bomb next be used offensively?

Mar 9, 10:56 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7306

OptionProbability

2030 - 2039

2040 - 2049

2025 - 2029

2050 - 2059

After 2100

2060 - 2079

2080 - 2100

20

20

15

14

12

10

9

Describe the best chess player in the 20th century - Ṁ5 for the 1st response

Dec 26, 5:44 AM

00

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