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Prediction markets for 3M

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?

Feb 19, 10:45 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

38.15%chance

4589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026?

Feb 10, 9:31 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

31.38%chance

5331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $110/lb by Mar 2030?

Feb 19, 10:44 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.25%chance

3301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 11.0 GWh by Sep 2028?

Feb 10, 9:36 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

67.64%chance

3232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?

Feb 19, 10:44 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

42.69%chance

4226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

Will Mike Roman (CEO of 3M) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 13, 12:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.74%chance

4156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

52

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

36.12%chance

3144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 3.0 kg by Dec 2028?

Feb 19, 3:11 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

75.29%chance

3104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029?

Feb 10, 9:41 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

60.85%chance

293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $100/lb by Mar 2028?

Feb 19, 10:43 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

67.21%chance

285

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $95.0/lb by Mar 2029?

Feb 19, 11:41 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

65.96%chance

281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 31.0 GWh by Mar 2031?

Feb 10, 9:46 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

66.51%chance

360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

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