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Prediction markets for 3M

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $115/lb by Mar 2031?

Feb 19, 10:45 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

42.6%chance

41983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026?

Feb 10, 9:31 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

31.38%chance

5331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 13.0 GWh by Dec 2028?

Feb 10, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

57.68%chance

3302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 11.0 GWh by Sep 2028?

Feb 10, 9:36 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

67.64%chance

3232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will Mike Roman (CEO of 3M) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 13, 12:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.74%chance

4156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

52

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.8 GWh by Mar 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

36.12%chance

3144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 4.0 kg by Dec 2029?

Feb 19, 3:16 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.91%chance

3132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 2.5 GWh by Jun 2027?

Feb 10, 9:32 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55.14%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029?

Feb 10, 9:41 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.11%chance

2108

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

72

Biological post-humans with 50B+ neurons in Andromeda galaxy by 3M CE?

May 14, 2:24 PMDec 31, 3:19 PM

60.3%chance

889

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 27.0 GWh by Sep 2030?

Feb 10, 9:44 PMSep 30, 4:00 AM

72.14%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $85.0/lb by Mar 2027?

Feb 19, 11:41 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

57.17%chance

265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

87

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