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Prediction markets for 3M

Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.0 kg by Dec 2026?

Feb 19, 3:07 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

45.73%chance

41407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 15.0 GWh by Mar 2029?

Feb 10, 9:38 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

72.02%chance

3437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 5.0 GWh by Dec 2027?

Feb 10, 4:18 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

61.03%chance

4336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 13.0 GWh by Dec 2028?

Feb 10, 9:37 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

57.68%chance

3302

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will uranium spot price (15m trailing avg, 3m lag) exceed $105/lb by Mar 2029?

Feb 19, 10:44 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

43.39%chance

4247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $100.0/lb by Mar 2030?

Feb 19, 11:41 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

68.42%chance

4146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 29.0 GWh by Dec 2030?

Feb 10, 9:45 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.18%chance

3137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 4.0 kg by Dec 2029?

Feb 19, 3:16 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.91%chance

3132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 7.0 GWh by Mar 2028?

Feb 10, 9:34 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

77.41%chance

3109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

185

54

Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 25.0 GWh by Jun 2030?

Feb 10, 9:43 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

72.77%chance

3106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

61

Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $105.0/lb by Mar 2031?

Feb 19, 11:41 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

61.3%chance

281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Will Cameco realized U price (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed $90.0/lb by Mar 2028?

Feb 19, 11:41 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

58.4%chance

259

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

84

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