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Top stories

AI Productivity Surge Fuels Fresh Wave of White-Collar Layoff Warnings

AI Productivity Surge Fuels Fresh Wave of White-Collar Layoff Warnings

Authors

20

1 year ago

Prediction markets for a16z

Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Jul 27, 3:26 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

61.29%chance

714952

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

784

Will a16z have a dedicated AI safety fund before 2030?

Sep 27, 8:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.11%chance

111508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2282

438

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.45%chance

5855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1853

540

Will AI break blockchain mechanism before EOY ?

Oct 15, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.88%chance

7298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

87

Will MP (the original creator) consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56.35%chance

8265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

89

How will "The AI Job Apocalypse Is A Is A Complete Fantasy" be viewed at the end of 2027?

May 7, 1:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

240

OptionProbability

Correct

Mixed

Incorrect

55

29

17

Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027?

Aug 24, 8:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.33%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

87

Should Daniel Penny have been acquitted? // Is a16z a good company? [Multi-select]

Aug 3, 1:11 AM

40

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