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Abnormal News

Trump will die before 2027

Jan 28, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4%chance

5514063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

490

20

Diagnosis Market for the cause of my Erectile Dysfunction [SUBSIDIZED]

Jan 4, 2:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

182463

OptionProbability

Peripheral nervous system - spinal cord or nerve injury

Psychological (anxiety)

Hypothalamus - structural abnormality

Thyroid - Hyperthyroidism

Pituitary gland - structural abnormality

Hypothalamus - tumor (non-cancerous)

Testes - physical abnormality

Penis - prostate tumor (cancer)

Thyroid - Hypothyroidism

Pituitary gland - tumor (non-cancerous)

Testes - tumor (cancer)

Penis - structural abnormality

Penis - prostate tumor (non-cancerous)

Testes - tumor (non-cancerous)

Pituitary gland - tumor (cancerous)

Hypothalamus - tumor (cancerous)

Other brain abnormality or tumor (non-cancerous) e.g. Prolactinoma

Nervous system - Multiple sclerosis

Pornography Addiction

Other brain tumor (cancerous)

55

45

36

29

28

28

28

28

28

26

26

26

25

24

23

21

21

21

21

18

Will California be in a drought at end of August 2026?

Jan 1, 8:54 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

66.29%chance

131740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

713

Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?

Apr 8, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10775

OptionProbability

Yes

It happens, but we’re all gone lol

No

Other

50

18

16

16

Will the US undergo Stagflation before the 2026 midterms? (Bounds Revised)

Feb 24, 4:33 PMMay 3, 10:59 PM

3435

OptionProbability

High Inflation + Low GDP + High Unemployment (Stagflation)

Low Inflation + Low GDP

High Inflation + Normal GDP

Low Inflation + High GDP

Low GDP Only

All Metrics Within Normal Bounds

High Inflation + High GDP

High GDP Only

48

9

8

8

8

8

6

6

How many people will be living on the moon in 2050

Mar 31, 12:59 AMDec 7, 4:59 AM

20404

OptionProbability

0-20

20-40

40-60

100-120

60-80

80-100

120-140

140-160

160-180

180-200

980-1000

200-220

220-240

240-260

260-280

280-300

300-320

320-340

340-360

360-380

380-400

400-420

420-440

440-460

460-480

480-500

500-520

520-540

540-560

560-580

580-600

600-620

620-640

640-660

660-680

680-700

700-720

720-740

740-760

760-780

780-800

800-820

820-840

840-860

860-880

880-900

900-920

920-940

940-960

960-980

44

17

17

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the US undergo Stagflation before the 2026 midterms?

May 4, 11:12 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

8354

OptionProbability

Inflation but no GDP abnormality

No abnormalities in inflation & GDP

Yes on Stagflation (high inflation & recession)

Recession but no inflation abnormality

High inflation and GDP growth

High GDP but no inflation abnormality

Deflation/low inflation and recession

Deflation/low inflation but no GDP abnormality

Deflation/low inflation & high GDP growth

23

23

18

17

6

4

4

3

3

Will Trump’s second presidential term NOT end exactly on January 20, 2029, due to war, emergency, impeachment, or other

Jan 5, 8:22 AMJan 21, 11:59 AM

25.4%chance

9270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

444

187

Will we have a treatment for Alzheimer's disease that halts the progression of the disease by 2035?

Nov 13, 12:49 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30%chance

8269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Have you experienced weird service recently?

Dec 12, 3:11 AM

00

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