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Prediction markets for ABR

Will JJ Abrams direct a movie in the 2020s?

Mar 31, 2:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

95.45%chance

1814228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4817

412

When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords?

Nov 7, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2412432

OptionProbability

After 2026, or never

In 2026

Between the election and the Inauguration

From when Trump takes office to June 30, 2025

From July 1, 2025 to Dec. 31, 2025

87

11

1

1

1

Tanishq Abraham/ilovescience Stock (Permanent)

Jan 12, 7:14 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

214164

OptionProbability

NO

YES

459

183

Will the American Boxing Revival Act of 2025 (ABRA) be signed into law by July 4, 2026.

Jul 28, 7:15 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

6.68%chance

103776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3738

267

U.S. implements residence-based taxation for Americans abroad by 2028

Feb 17, 2:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

22.24%chance

91400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

580

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

121332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will any country leave the Abraham Accords by EO2026?

Sep 11, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.73%chance

6353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?

Aug 4, 7:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35.17%chance

8301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

50

Will Stacey Abrams (American politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.55%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

349

126

Will an abrupt sunlight reduction catastrophe occur before 2100?

Jun 6, 12:34 PMJan 1, 1:59 PM

9.77%chance

7197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

89

Will Alex Abramson (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 17, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.44%chance

10187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

137

Will the newly-discovered Mexican tree alligators (Abronia cunemica) be declared extinct by the end of the year 2035?

Jan 7, 10:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.85%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

98

71

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