ABR News

Will JJ Abrams direct a movie in the 2020s?

Mar 31, 2:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.98%chance

1916436

OptionVotes

YES

2610

580

When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords?

Nov 7, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2714228

OptionProbability

After 2026, or never

In 2026

From July 1, 2025 to Dec. 31, 2025

Between the election and the Inauguration

From when Trump takes office to June 30, 2025

Tanishq Abraham/ilovescience Stock (Permanent)

Jan 12, 7:14 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

214164

OptionProbability

YES

459

183

In planecrash, what was the fourth Major Curse placed on Abrogail?

Dec 7, 5:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

231920

OptionProbability

Something that helps maintain an elaborate deception involving a pit fiend.

Something to impair her in a way potentially useful for multiple purposes, like the abilitystat penalties.

Making Carissa seem like a god to her (ADDED LATE, MAY BE DISQUALIFIED EVEN IF CORRECT)

Other

Something to assist in extracting information from her mind.

A bluff.

Something to prevent her from committing suicide

Something that will do something unpleasant to her if removed, in order to avoid situations where she enters an Antimagic Field or gets hit by a powerful Dispel.

Something to prevent self-deception, in hopes she will realize what awaits her in Hell and voluntarily help them.

Something that helps locating her or bringing her back if she escapes/leaves

Something else not predicted by any other answer at the time the market closes.

Makes Abrogail's body into a weapon (like a bomb, or plague vector, or something)

Something to further reduce her abilitystats and be removed bit by bit in order to fake Wish-enhancement.

The answer will never be officially revealed.

Something to help her learn rationality

U.S. implements residence-based taxation for Americans abroad by 2028

Feb 17, 2:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

22.24%chance

91400

OptionVotes

YES

1933

580

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

121332

OptionVotes

YES

1836

545

Where will I study abroad?

Apr 28, 5:52 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8548

OptionProbability

Cape Town, South Africa

NONE

Berlin, Germany

Madrid, Spain

Oxford, UK

Kyoto, Japan

Santiago, Chile

Washington, DC

Other

Beijing, China

Florence, Italy

New York City

Paris, France

Istanbul, Turkey

Hong Kong

Australia (mobile)

Will any country leave the Abraham Accords by EO2026?

Sep 11, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.64%chance

7471

OptionVotes

YES

252

Will Poland use its M1 Abrams tanks in combat?

Aug 19, 11:16 AMApr 2, 9:59 PM

67.45%chance

15391

OptionVotes

YES

230

Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?

Aug 4, 7:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.48%chance

9309

OptionVotes

YES

232

Will an abrupt sunlight reduction catastrophe occur before 2100?

Jun 6, 12:34 PMJan 1, 1:59 PM

9.77%chance

7197

OptionVotes

YES

264

Will Alex Abramson (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 17, 12:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.44%chance

10187

OptionVotes

YES

242

137

ABR News

Prediction markets for ABR

Prediction markets for ABR

Prediction markets for ABR

Will JJ Abrams direct a movie in the 2020s?

When will Saudi Arabia sign onto the Abraham Accords?

Tanishq Abraham/ilovescience Stock (Permanent)

In planecrash, what was the fourth Major Curse placed on Abrogail?

U.S. implements residence-based taxation for Americans abroad by 2028

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?

Where will I study abroad?

Will any country leave the Abraham Accords by EO2026?

Will Poland use its M1 Abrams tanks in combat?

Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?

Will an abrupt sunlight reduction catastrophe occur before 2100?

Will Alex Abramson (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

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