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Prediction markets for Academy

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

5.36%chance

302674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2456

841

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

28.63%chance

251287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1686

440

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.41%chance

27766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1424

879

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

23618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

810

Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award

Mar 27, 6:17 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

41.57%chance

7506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

843

Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?

May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.9%chance

7417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

431

23

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Who will win Best Actor at the 2027 Academy Awards?

Sep 9, 11:41 PMMar 18, 2:00 AM

14233

OptionProbability

Matt Damon (The Odyssey)

Tom Cruise (Digger)

Other

John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine)

Andrew Scott (Elsinore)

Robert Pattinson (Primetime)

31

21

20

12

11

5

Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2033?

Jun 26, 8:38 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.85%chance

749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

Joel Haver wins an academy award before 2030

Mar 6, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

92

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

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