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Academy News

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

5.36%chance

302674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2456

841

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

33.6%chance

251137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

507

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.41%chance

27766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1424

879

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.26%chance

23618

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

810

Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award

Mar 27, 6:17 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

41.57%chance

7506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

843

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.91%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

Will someone named Rigoberto or Rigobert be nominated for an Academy Award / Oscar before April 1st 2032?

Jan 17, 10:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

23.43%chance

781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

136

Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards?

Aug 8, 7:46 AMMar 14, 2:00 AM

37.6%chance

659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

Will Space Force get its own service academy by 2030?

Sep 1, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.45%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

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