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Prediction markets for Academy

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

6.78%chance

282172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

871

Will Star Trek: Starfleet Academy have a 70% or higher Popcornmeter score exactly one month after final release date?

Jan 7, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.94%chance

62017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2216

452

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jul 3, 3:44 PMJul 10, 8:59 PM

7897

OptionProbability

Mickey 17

1

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.07%chance

26716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1374

889

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

51.97%chance

24705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

803

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Will I reach 1,175,000 Energy Points on Khan Academy by the end of May?

Mar 8, 5:10 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

26.65%chance

7515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1439

784

Will there be an Academy Award for stunt men by the end of 2030?

May 5, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.9%chance

7417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

431

23

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Will students be able to enroll in Trump's "American Academy" by the end of his mandate?

Nov 20, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.97%chance

3210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

116

Will Space Force get its own service academy by 2030?

Sep 1, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.45%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

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