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Prediction markets for Academy

Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Mar 6, 3:28 AMMar 5, 4:59 AM

347921

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Other

K-Pop Demon Hunters

Dune 2

The Substance

zootopia 2

Jurassic world rebirth

Frankenstein

Avatar 3

Highest 2 Lowest

A Big Bold Beautiful Journey

Wicked: For Good

Sentimental Value

It was just an accident

Weapons

69

18

6

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

6.78%chance

282172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

871

Will Star Trek: Starfleet Academy have a 70% or higher Popcornmeter score exactly one month after final release date?

Jan 7, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.32%chance

52007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2266

442

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

Which film will win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 6, 1:01 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

111349

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

The Secret Agent

Train Dreams

Frankenstein

It Was Just an Accident

Wicked: For Good

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

Bugonia

No Other Choice

Jay Kelly

Weapons

The Testament of Ann Lee

Other

71

17

4

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.07%chance

26716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1374

889

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

51.97%chance

24705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

803

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.35%chance

22616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

808

Will Starfleet Academy end the season with higher than a 5.0 on IMDB?

Jan 24, 6:44 AMMar 10, 10:59 PM

41.81%chance

9379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

848

Will Space Force get its own service academy by 2030?

Sep 1, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.45%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

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