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Top stories

Coppola Undergoes Scheduled Heart Procedure in Rome

Coppola Undergoes Scheduled Heart Procedure in Rome

Authors

10

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Academy

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Jan 12, 12:55 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

6.78%chance

282172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

871

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.36%chance

321716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

841

By 2040, will a superhero movie win an academy award for best picture?

Feb 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.07%chance

26716

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1374

889

Will a Bollywood or other Indian cinema movie win Best Picture at the Oscars / Academy Awards before the end of 2050?

Mar 25, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.49%chance

21506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

926

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

63.83%chance

23505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

940

What will be true about the next Oscars Academy Award Best Actor winner in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 3, 4:18 AMMar 9, 3:59 AM

3328

OptionProbability

Recording exists of them saying "fuck"

photo of them in suspenders/overalls on the internet

Has Tattoo

Had At least one sex scandal

Has Brown Eyes

Is 6'0" or taller (183cm)

Photo exists on internet of them wearing suspenders/overalls

Currently Married

at least one divorce at time of announcement

Is Bald

60 or older at time of announcement

Is Indian

at least one arrest

79

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

10

10

4

4

Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?

May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.91%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

Will someone named Rigoberto or Rigobert be nominated for an Academy Award / Oscar before April 1st 2032?

Jan 17, 10:08 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM

23.43%chance

781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

136

Will students be able to enroll in Trump's "American Academy" by the end of his mandate?

Nov 20, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

100

Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM

32.43%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

95

Which films will win an Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jul 3, 3:44 PMJul 10, 8:59 PM

323

OptionProbability

Mickey 17

41

Will some1 from University of Washington's "early entrance program/UW Academy"/RC win Emergent Ventures by 2030?

Sep 21, 8:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

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