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Prediction markets for ACI

EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?

Jan 18, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.14%chance

163939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3153

317

Ocean Acidification Should Be More Worrying Than Atmospheric Climate Change (Resolves to Probability)

Feb 15, 4:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.75%chance

381761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

791

Will Bryan Johnson come out against linoleic acid before 2030?

Aug 15, 6:14 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

23.52%chance

5811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1803

555

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:17 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

37.19%chance

7544

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

769

Will the Cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 26, 10:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.32%chance

15387

OptionVotes

YES

NO

644

413

Will the wild population of the Cheetah (Acinonyx jubatus) become extinct by 2100?

Mar 5, 12:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.42%chance

5253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

675

370

Will amino acids on Mars have the same chirality as organic Earth amino acids?

Sep 13, 12:46 AMSep 13, 12:45 AM

691

OptionProbability

No significant enantiomeric excess

L-excess, more left-handed (the same as on Earth)

L-excess, more right-handed

75

54

14

Will major health bodies recommend limiting linoleic acid intake before 2050?

Mar 11, 4:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.62%chance

386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

96

Will polylactic acid based (natural) microplastics be shown to be more benign than polyethylene/polypropylene based ones

Nov 30, 11:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.03%chance

322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

74

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