OptionProbability
Lionel Messi to score at least one goal
Someone scores 5+ goals within group stage
USA survives group stage
2+ red cards in any match
Any player scores at least a goal 3 matches in a row
Goal from last kick of the game
Cristiano Ronaldo to score a goal
Mexico survives group stage
Canada survives group stage
3+ red cards in any match
6+ yellow cards in any match
Red card issued for mouth covering
Team with 0 wins in Group Stage
Black player gets the red card
Bicycle kick attempt
Team scores after being down to 10 men
Both teams score in stoppage time
Player scores against country of birth/heritage
Player bleeding on camera during match
Team loses possession from delay throw-in
Player scores a hat-trick
Over 9.5 own goals scored
Over 7.5 goals scored in a single group stage match
Play suspended for more than 1.5 hours in a single match
Teenager scores a goal (non penalty shoot-out)
Team finishes match with 9 players
French-born player scores against France
Team makes it to Round of 32 with no goals conceded
Goal scored directly from a free-kick
A coach is sacked before the end of the tournament
Team ends Group Stage with a clean sheet
Player not born in the country they are playing for scores 2+ goals
“Puto” chant at match
Referee falls down
Any host places 1st in their group
Curaçao scores a goal
Haaland scores over 3.5 goals
Neymar plays in a match
Vuvuzela spotted in the stadium stands
At least two Mohammeds (all variants) score ≥1 goal
gruesome leg/ankle/arm injury
Will either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar advance to the next round?
Will Cristiano Ronaldo Score Atleast A Goal In Next Match Against Uzbekistan
Foam spray is used on field to mark penalty / free kick
Cape Verde scores a goal
Will any more team(s) from Europe finish 4th in the group?
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 200
US scores in every single group stage match
3+ penalty shootout
The Golden Boot winner to score 6+ goals
Player is complaining about the Trionda ball / blames it for the losing
Trump still alive at end of final match
Messi is top Argentinian goal-scorer
Fan hospitalized for heat related illness
20+ penalty goals
Kylian Mbappe & Harry Kane to Score 9+ Goals Combined
Trump attends match
Over 10.5 red cards
Players cleat falls off their foot
Messi scores a goal at 39 years old
Penalty shootout goes 6+ rounds
A penalty shootout contains a missed winning kick (Matchball)
Team is undefeated for the entire tournament (only wins & draws)
VAR to overturn at least 20 decisions
Bottle thrown on field
Champion is a first place group stage winner
South American team reaches semi-final
Champion is unbeaten
Pride flag at Egypt v Iran match
Single top goalscorer in tournament (not tied)
2+ European countries reach top 4
Asian player misses penalty kick
Ronaldo gets in referee face
Any host nation in quarter final
Penalty shootout to decide a quarter-final match
Will any group finish with either all draws or zero draws?
Another match day ending in all draws (regular time)
Unauthorized person gets on the pitch during match
Golden Glove Winner wears Senda, Rinat, RG, Voit or Adidas brand glove
No red cards issued in the Final match
The ballon d’or is awarded to a player from World Cup winner
Golden Boot Winner wears Nike branded cleats
Austria Pays Its Debt to Algeria? (Austria loses or draws with Algeria AND both teams qualify. Inspired by the 1982 “Disgrace of Gijón”)
Both teams in final have red on their flag
Visible debris thrown during corner kick attempt
More own goals than red cards in tourney
A fully southern hemisphere team (Australia, NZ, South Africa, Uruguay or Argentina) makes semi finals.
Over 202.5 goals scored in group stage
Ronaldo to cry at the world cup
Messi gets a yellow card
Team loses after leading 2-0
The Golden Ball is awarded to a player from tournament winner
Trump kicks or holds a soccer ball at any time during tournament
Over 289.5 total goals scored*
Asian player gets the red card
Flipping Coinflips – Do teams shooting first win more penalty shootouts?
Over 14.5 own goals scored
US goes further than Mexico
Coaches of both teams in final match are wearing suits
Over 6.5 matches ending 0-0 (regular time only)
Final is a rematch of a previous World Cup
Players from any other league outscore PL players in the tournament
Penalty shootout goes 7+ rounds
5+ group stage winners advance with 9 points (3 wins)
USA to reach the Quarter-finals or further
Someone escorted off field shirtless
Elon Musk attends match
Any one of Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe, or Erling Haaland to score a hattrick
Messi to score a free kick
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 300
Penalty shootout to decide semi-final match
Player with the heat stroke / heat related illness
Player tears their ACL
Messi and Ronaldo play in the same match
A player or their teams gets sanctioned by FIFA (i. e. a fine, an overturned result, a suspension) for a goal celebration with a political or politics-adjacent message
2 UEFA teams in final
Trump acts innapropriate with trophy at final
Betting scandal reported
Spain goes further than France
Last penalty shoot-out kick of tournament is missed/saved
Unofficial drone is reported flying over a stadium
Laser pointer on goalie during match
Crowd jump registers on local seismic sensor
Freddy attends the final match
Goal scored within 1st minute
15+ minutes of the stoppage time
Canada goes further than US
Messi scores more goals than Mbappe
VAR overturns second yellow card
Flares in stands during match in USA
Hooligans light the fireworks at night by team hotel for disruption
The Golden Boot winner to score 8+ goals
30+ penalty goals
USA player gets the red card
6+ teams with negative goal difference advance from the group stage
Disruption at Iran match
Team particpates in 3+ penalty shoot-outs
3 or more coaches resign or are fired before end of World Cup
Team captain gets red card
Team reaches the quarter-finals through draws and penalties
Youngest player of the tournament scores a goal
World Champion's goals > total goals of all teams out in group stage
5+ hat tricks
Palestinian or Israeli flag on field during match
Winning team has a foreign manager
Weather postponement or delay for greater than 3 hours
Bald person gets the red card
Over 30.5 penalties scored (excludes shoot-outs)
Match has a dedicated moment of silence
Player blames an injury on poor stadium grass
Messi scores on every game he plays
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce attend match
Over 395.5 yellow cards
First penalty shootout kick of tournament is missed/saved
Both players in this photo* play each other in a match
Record for hottest WC match ever played broken (>101°)
A penalty shootout to decide the Final match
Final features a team that has never made it to the final before
World Cup winner to never trail in a match
Another match with 3+ red cards
Play suspended for more than 2.5 hours in a single match
Salt Bae attending a match
Freddy shown during a match broadcast
Champion is a first time World Cup winner
Goalkeeper attempts shot in PKs
Smoke bomb during match in USA
Golden boot & golden ball won by the same player
The Golden Boot winner is decided by # assists
Player gets spat on during match
25+ people arrested at stadium
Haaland scores on every game he plays
Game is turned around in stoppage team (one team leads at 90:00, the other team scores twice or more in stoppage time to win it)
Team makes it to Round of 16 with zero yellow cards
Any match is canceled or postponed
Team USA fans pull off a decent Tifo
Any two brothers play against each other (Both must be on the pitch at the same time)
England loses on penalties
Animal (not birdy) is on field during match
King Charles attends match
Will Merlin the duck correctly predict both remaining MEX group stage matches?
ICE makes a capture at the stadium
Over 8.5 penalties missed (excludes shoot-outs)
Goal scored from own half
Any player injured in opening group match & out for rest of tournament
Player throws captains armband
Headbutt during match
Player wearing a face mask in semi-final match
Will any player be seen drinking gatorade during a hydration break?
Ronaldo does not start
Knockout Stage (incl 3rd/4th) to match or exceed Group-Stage scoring average
An African nation to reach the Semi-finals
Coach on camera during match smelling finger(s)
All 48 teams score at least 1 goal
Scorigami (a match ends in a score that has never happened at a World Cup; for the purpose of this answer refers only to result before extra time / shootout)
Fans invade field during match
Voodoo doll or alive chicken in stands
Player walks off pitch protesting referee
Will both brothers of any pair score at this World Cup?
Any country ranked outside FIFA Top 10 to reach semifinals (as of 6/11)
Major security incident
15+ cards in any match
Asia team reaches semi final
Trump attends 3 or more games
Pulisic top Team USA goal scorer
Player wearing oxygen mask on sideline
Bonnie Blue attending a match
Erling Haaland to win the Golden Boot
Over 1.5 of the visible penis in world cup tourney (during match, on pitch)
Olimpico goal (goal scored directly from corner kick, counts if corner taker is credited as the goalscorer by FIFA)
Team wins a match without making a single substitution
Match is forfeited
Trump dancing at match
The fastest goal of the tournament is scored within 30 seconds
10+ goals in any match
Player bit during match
Football is coming home?
Goalkeeper scores a non-penalty goal
An over-enthusiastic goal celebration results in a shattered corner flag
Team gets removed or disqualified
Player arrested / detained at any time of tournament
USA plays Iran
Someone from Trump administration celebrating in locker room
The Netherlands does not survive group stage
Mohamed Salah (Egypt) scores 5+ goals during Group Stage Fixtures (Round of 64)
German Freddy is uncovered to be the marketing stunt
Team finishes third in group and makes it to final
Shooting incident (non-ball) at stadium
Players / members of team attempt to defect
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 400
Match delayed due to homophobic crowd chant
Player suffers cardiac arrest
Omar Artan is at a World Cup match
Confirmed case of Ebola at the match
Oldest player in tournament gets a yellow card
Team gets to final on all penalty shoot-outs in knockout rounds
Ronaldo does jerkin move
A group-stage match is decided by a freak "Olympico" goal scored directly from a corner
Player shits in the pants during match
A third-placed team is eliminated with 4+ points
Any team with <3 points advances from the group stage
Match delayed due to anti-Trump crowd chant
Fastest goal record beaten (11 seconds)
All teams concede at least 1 goal in group stage
Player drinking Liquid Death at hydration break
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei attending a match
Player dies during World Cup
All 3 host countries win the opener
Ronaldo scores before Messi
4+ Corners in Every Group Stage Match
Ronaldo puts up the goose egg (excludes any penalty or shootout)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
98
97
97
97
96
96
94
93
93
90
87
86
86
85
83
81
81
81
80
80
80
79
78
76
75
75
72
72
71
67
66
65
64
62
62
61
61
60
60
60
60
59
59
58
58
58
58
56
56
55
55
54
54
54
53
52
50
50
50
49
48
47
47
46
46
45
44
44
43
42
42
42
42
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
39
39
39
38
38
38
38
37
37
35
34
34
33
33
33
32
31
30
30
30
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
27
27
26
26
26
25
25
25
24
24
24
22
21
21
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
15
14
14
14
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
5857
171
OptionProbability
2025
>2034
2024
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031-2034
Other
17
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
OptionProbability
Week 1 NFL Season 2025/26
Week 2-18 or Playoffs NFL Season 2025/26
Preseason NFL Season 2025/26
NFL Season 2026/27 or later (including Preseason)
Never
61
27
10
1
1
OptionProbability
New York Jets
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota Vikings
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
Other
94
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
117
72
