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Prediction markets for ACLS

US civil war before 2028 with Charlie Kirk shooting as major cause?

Sep 11, 10:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.83%chance

219394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5857

171

When will the average number of submissions to top AI conferences first decline over the previous year?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46979

OptionProbability

2025

>2034

2024

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031-2034

Other

17

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

When does Patrick Mahomes next take an NFL snap?

Dec 15, 4:29 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

4408

OptionProbability

Week 2-18 or Playoffs NFL Season 2025/26

Week 1 NFL Season 2025/26

Preseason NFL Season 2025/26

NFL Season 2026/27 or later (including Preseason)

Never

67

22

6

4

1

Will there be a large protest across US based on a political/ economical/ social issue?

Sep 30, 10:27 AMMar 31, 9:58 AM

75.79%chance

9335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

57

Will there be a Regional War involving 3 or more countries in South America by the end of 2030?

Nov 30, 2:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29%chance

7126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

72

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