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Top stories

Stargate DAO Approves $110M-$120M LayerZero Acquisition, STG Token Holders to Convert to ZRO

Stargate DAO Approves $110M-$120M LayerZero Acquisition, STG Token Holders to Convert to ZRO

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Across

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35%chance

18914872

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3617

1599

Will it be possible to search for text across ALL YouTube videos by 2026?

Mar 9, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.67%chance

175233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

782

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

56.25%chance

334974

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

786

Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Mar 17, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.65%chance

192496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2499

543

In twenty years, the best evidence will suggest that sperm counts are substantially declining across most of the world

Jan 28, 2:49 AMJan 28, 5:59 AM

40%chance

271842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1377

606

Will @EliezerYudkowsky profit on net across all #superconductivity markets?

Aug 9, 11:49 PMFeb 1, 12:59 PM

75.45%chance

151123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1373

767

Vibe-coding software reaches 100M+ MAU (summed across all platforms) by 2026 EOY?

Oct 22, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.03%chance

6700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

90

If we ever come across a life form that didn't originate on earth, would it be mainly carbon based?

Nov 22, 9:47 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

76.26%chance

13484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1353

854

By the end of 2035, will I be able to use a hoverbike as a regular mode of transportation across New York Harbor?

Jul 13, 3:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.37%chance

8304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

806

Will "Recap of bike trip/street interviews across A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 17, 6:22 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.05%chance

4164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

976

Will factory farming ever be de facto banned and enforced across the contiguous United States?

Jun 16, 3:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will a tunnel across the Bohai Strait between Shandong and Liaoning in China have started construction by 2035?

Jul 5, 9:39 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

58.17%chance

535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

82

60

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