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Prediction markets for Act

CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

Feb 21, 11:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.25%chance

88136210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17850

564

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

31.26%chance

7024069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14460

7017

Will the Ban Superintelligence Act pass by the end of 2027?

Sep 3, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.23%chance

4010257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3375

1414

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.74%chance

125325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1818

107

Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?

Sep 27, 8:37 PMJan 22, 6:59 AM

58.69%chance

264956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1193

840

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

184475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3477

1297

Will the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency?

Sep 27, 8:40 PMJan 22, 6:59 AM

34.16%chance

112238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

720

Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?

Jun 5, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.47%chance

8726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM

49.52%chance

4223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Will >50% of total allocated funding to clean energy provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act be gutted by 2028?

Jul 16, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

3128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

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