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Prediction markets for Act

CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?

Feb 21, 11:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.87%chance

7597714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11449

1229

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

30.97%chance

7023969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14560

6972

Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?

Sep 27, 8:37 PMJan 22, 6:59 AM

53.02%chance

264854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

942

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

42.59%chance

124441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

861

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

174275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3477

1297

Will the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency?

Sep 27, 8:40 PMJan 22, 6:59 AM

34.16%chance

112238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

720

Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?

Jun 5, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.47%chance

8726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

991

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will there be an Ozymandias-Beihai act motivated by AI risks by 2035?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.93%chance

7176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Will >50% of total allocated funding to clean energy provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act be gutted by 2028?

Jul 16, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

3128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

949

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