ActBlue News

At least one shot was fired

Someone was hit by a bullet (or other firearm projectile)

The shooter is (or all shooters are) identified or caught within 24 hours of the shooting.

The first shot was entirely outside of (not from or into) the ballroom

Shooter had donated to a candidate through actblue (Dem platform) before

The shooter or shooters have a manifesto

Shooter is an adult (18 yo+)

Shooter is confirmed to be Cole Tomas Allen

At least one shot was fired by a security / Secret Service person

The shooter is (or shooters are) motivated by a grievance against the President or one or more members of the administration

Shooter acted alone (No accomplices)

Shooter is motivated by left-wing politics

MAGA uses incident to bolster urgency for ballroom

Shooter was a devout Christian

Shooter had donated to the Ukrainian military

The shot that hit an agent's vest was friendly fire

Jimmy Kimmel will be suspended/cancelled over the Melania comments

Congress authorizes Trump’s ballroom

Attempt at Market Manipulation discovered

Staged / organised by Trump or associates

The shooter is (or shooters are) motivated by a grievance against the press or a member of the press

Shooter is linked to Iran

Shooter had donated to a candidate through winred(gop platform) before

Shooter wrote on bullets

Shooter is linked to Islamic terrorism

Shooter is a furry

Shooter is motivated by right-wing politics

Shooter was threatened or blckmailed

It was a distraction from Trump firing all 24 members of the U.S. National Science Foundation’s governing body

An invited guest (not including security) fired at least one of the shots

Shooter has a Manifold account

Shot(s) were fired at the President

The show will go on

Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

Evan permabanned from Manifold

Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025

Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"

Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.

Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations

Charlie Kirk dies

Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive

Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026

The Trump Admin fails to issue any federal policies to protect campus speakers before 2027.

government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing

At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death

South Park does an episode that alludes to it

event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments

Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.

NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired

Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting

South Park episode canceled (not delayed)

Another political assassination (either side)

Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.

Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.

Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.

The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.

event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson

"Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals

Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol

Information reward money paid

high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated

Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down

arson attack against gender clinic

A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.

At least one furry convention canceled

Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination

Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.

TPUSA supports a gun control bill

Any Democratic politician is arrested

5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)

Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled

Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting

Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"

Any news organization is shut down

Any left-wing NGO is shut down

A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.

A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed

80s-style moral panic over furries

Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.

"Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns

Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.

Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US

Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law

At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.

Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership

America becomes a one-party GOP state.

National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)

Kash Patel fired

South Park canceled

Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad

Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store

5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12