Activate Capital News

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.6%chance

275531

OptionVotes

YES

3264

307

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.04%chance

363725

OptionVotes

YES

213

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

YES

1720

680

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.46%chance

191770

OptionVotes

YES

2102

476

Will Trump change the name of D.C. from "District of Columbia" to "Dark Carnival" in his second term?

Jan 31, 10:35 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

1.05%chance

71109

OptionVotes

YES

973

What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029

Jul 13, 6:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91063

OptionProbability

It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation

It does another private round at a lower valuation (or flat) than it's March 2026 post-money valuation of $852billion (taking this valuation even through this would imply the round was smaller due to Amazon money not coming through)

It IPOs at an IPO Price below a $1trillion valuation

It IPOs at a price that is a down round (or flat) from it's last (March 2026) post-money private valuation of $852billion

OpenAI is acquired by another company either fully or as an acquihire

Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?

Jun 16, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.96%chance

10862

OptionVotes

YES

1605

623

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Which Bittensor subnet from SN65–SN128 will be the most valuable at the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 11:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2438

OptionProbability

SN68

SN120

SN97

SN65

SN66

SN67

SN69

SN70

SN71

SN72

SN73

SN74

SN75

SN76

SN77

SN78

SN79

SN80

SN81

SN82

SN83

SN84

SN85

SN86

SN87

SN88

SN89

SN90

SN91

SN92

SN93

SN94

SN95

SN96

SN98

SN99

SN100

SN101

SN102

SN103

SN104

SN105

SN106

SN107

SN108

SN109

SN110

SN111

SN112

SN113

SN114

SN115

SN116

SN117

SN118

SN119

SN121

SN122

SN123

SN124

SN125

SN126

SN127

SN128

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.5%chance

9253

OptionVotes

YES

292

Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?

Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

45%chance

4230

OptionVotes

YES

1106

905

Who Hasbro buys Sanrio on 2030 only

Feb 10, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.22%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

140

Activate Capital News

Prediction markets for Activate Capital

Prediction markets for Activate Capital

Prediction markets for Activate Capital

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Will Trump change the name of D.C. from "District of Columbia" to "Dark Carnival" in his second term?

What will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029

Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Which Bittensor subnet from SN65–SN128 will be the most valuable at the end of 2026?

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?

Who Hasbro buys Sanrio on 2030 only

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