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Prediction markets for Activate Capital

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.07%chance

193036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3171

316

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will Moltbook survive through feb 2026?

Jan 31, 2:10 PMMar 1, 2:06 PM

90.62%chance

281177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

311

32

Will Trump change the name of D.C. from "District of Columbia" to "Dark Carnival" in his second term?

Jan 31, 10:35 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

1.05%chance

71109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

973

10

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.43%chance

12442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Mar 3, 3:11 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

6256

OptionProbability

Between $10 billion and $50 billion

Between $1 billion and $10 billion

Between $50 billion and $100 billion

Greater than $100 billion

Has not been capitalized as of January 21, 2029

>$0, less than $1 billion

48

18

14

9

5

5

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.07%chance

8241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

33

Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?

Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

45.13%chance

4227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

907

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