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Prediction markets for Acts of Congress
Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025
Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40%chance
16254471
OptionVotes
1206
894
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?
Jan 2, 1:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.64%chance
224483
OptionVotes
1703
587
OptionVotes
1024
977
OptionVotes
1115
897
Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?
Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM
55.46%chance
171256
OptionVotes
1116
896
Will the next Congress repeal or substantially amend the Height Act?
Aug 30, 3:36 PMJan 4, 5:59 AM
25.71%chance
14955
OptionVotes
1700
588
OptionVotes
1372
967
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
53.04%chance
7325
OptionVotes
1063
941
OptionProbability
66
52
51
45
38
37
37
34
OptionVotes
1110
919
Will Rewarding Efforts to Decrease Unrecycled Contaminants in Ecosystems (REDUCE) Act make it to a vote in congress?
Oct 4, 12:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
43.1%chance
230
OptionVotes
94
86