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Prediction markets for ACX

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.28%chance

385252072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6692

4439

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.58%chance

8132042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9023

1253

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.91%chance

4625010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6933

3605

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.73%chance

6220395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5494

4791

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

4916659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10296

3961

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.76%chance

4012876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9137

3857

[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.38%chance

5112492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13685

3290

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.23%chance

3012041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7723

3690

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

17.29%chance

339085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8381

4121

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.21%chance

388547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5184

5054

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.77%chance

256014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5922

4777

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.94%chance

141535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5745

4853

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