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Prediction markets for ACX

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.61%chance

363203865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5792

4778

[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

15767040

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7252

2143

[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.15%chance

7720977

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9071

3542

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.22%chance

4915942

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6219

4309

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.55%chance

5914447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5491

4239

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.31%chance

3512876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5981

4262

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.88%chance

3912826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9087

3868

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.5%chance

326426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6001

4690

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.03%chance

235958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5866

4797

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

24.47%chance

255936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6162

4697

[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.36%chance

335181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6529

4566

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.24%chance

194422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8978

3279

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