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Prediction markets for ACX

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

28490246

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5301

4725

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.34%chance

2910054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9813

3728

[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.15%chance

629866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5531

4491

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.76%chance

487893

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7320

2094

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.05%chance

296091

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6239

2225

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.38%chance

195302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7655

4278

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.6%chance

205170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5174

5023

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.28%chance

122625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7188

4278

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

22.86%chance

121974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6561

4573

[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.68%chance

181679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5435

4405

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.56%chance

171272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6031

4424

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.48%chance

131203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6073

4454

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