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Prediction markets for ACX

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.63%chance

401281850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15578

2885

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.63%chance

10975946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23112

2751

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.95%chance

8372334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5614

4579

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.72%chance

6445633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33225

2613

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.03%chance

9642876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6104

4379

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

5133992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28090

2258

[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.51%chance

6232714

OptionVotes

NO

YES

28944

2362

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.37%chance

4826223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20093

1745

[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.33%chance

3322452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6986

4633

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.82%chance

2913425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13323

3371

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.57%chance

5212004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8319

3970

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.42%chance

185897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9928

3914

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