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Prediction markets for ACX

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

398272514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10331

3557

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.7%chance

10969862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17496

3081

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.99%chance

5832364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9531

2512

[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95.73%chance

5823910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

25002

2520

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.03%chance

4823463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17737

2811

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

5723189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12515

3696

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.59%chance

6621293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5892

4513

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.18%chance

4520433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15090

2183

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

8.67%chance

4015624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14578

3257

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.23%chance

489899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6256

4591

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.56%chance

298424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8332

4125

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.48%chance

184512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8808

4102

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