ACX News

YES

Bayesian (https://manifold.markets/Bayesian)

nikki (https://manifold.markets/nikki)

jim (https://manifold.markets/jim)

Primer (https://manifold.markets/Primer)

Timothy Johnson (https://manifold.markets/TimothyJohnson5c16)

Other

Alpha School

Joan of Arc

The Astral Codex Ten Commentariat (“Why Do We Suck?”)

School

Islamic Geometric Patterns In The Metropolitan Museum Of Art

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NO

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YES

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NO

Platform for migrants to start legal & profitable microbusinesses.

Database of the Most Impactful Research Questions by Discipline and Cause Area

Leveraging biophysical techniques to improve the efficiency of successful pregnancies in older women

Research microeconomic disruptions caused by AGI

The Odyssean Institute

Mechanical Library

Educate the public about high impact causes

Science prediction markets for replicability

Free Our Knowledge: Improving scientific publishing through collective action

Researching low-input traditional agricultural techniques.

Growing human blood vessels in the lab to unlock replacement tissue/organ therapies

LLM Multi-Actor Tool to automate Economic Experiments

Building software to demystify land use regulations

Gather all formal demographic fertility and population projection methods into a single open source R package for academic, policy, and popular use

Psychosis in velocardiofacial syndrome (DiGeorge/22q11.2 deletion syndrome)

Conduct preliminary studies on the impact of MKP-2 on COVID-19 vaccine mediated depression

MPhil/PhD in Psychology to understand understand how issue polarisation arises from divergences in belief revision via Bayesian networks

Transform waste streams into biodegradable alternatives

H-Test: identifying a set of "blindspot" tasks for LLMs that doesn't scale (not inverse, close to no effect) with language training

Creating a swarm of robotic bees to either pollinate or spray pesticides

Create accessible synthesis of neuroscience insider knowledge

Conduct research on voice biomarkers, a promising early detection mechanism for mental illnesses, including Alzheimer’s, Parkinson's, depression, and more.

Build a digital marketplace and management platform to empower smallholder farmers in Kenya by reducing post-harvest food loss

Upgrade YIMBY messaging

Publish a book on Egan education for parents

Weather futures market for forecasting, insurance, and climate engineering.

Apply particle physics clustering to embedding space of LLM

Fund a detour on my PhD to improve brute force statistical tooling

Write three articles that integrate meta-analysis and meta-science

Quantifying the costs of the Jones Act

Run a public online Turing Test with a variety of models and prompts

Run a self-help program on WhatsApp to reduce depression in low and middle-income countries

Build an app to track ones impact on animal cruelty

Year one of AI Safety Tokyo

Strengthening digital health information system for epidemic control in Pakistan

Online videos of Fluidity Forum 2024 talks

Scaling Legal Impact for Chickens to make factory-farm cruelty a liability

Distribute HPMOR copies in Bangalore, India

An online science platform

Convert a hybrid car to chip wood and generate electricity

Start an online editorial journal focusing on paradigm development in psychiatry and psychology

News through prediction markets

A spaced-repetition first gamified learning platform

Vegans should have the right to eat in public institutions : help us turn our right into a reality

Art and Technology XR game providing Ecological and Social-Emotional Learning

Replicate social science research

Original Research Study on Effective Communication With Political Staffers

YES