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Prediction markets for ACX

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.5%chance

394267498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8718

3879

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.52%chance

9952878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9485

3955

[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Jan 6, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.18%chance

5328643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8083

3029

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.9%chance

5721790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12098

3741

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.55%chance

6521031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5639

4686

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.76%chance

4719708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13920

3156

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

9.47%chance

3914674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13628

3352

[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

3513953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9603

3111

[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.73%chance

5212721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15349

3127

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.1%chance

429434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5885

4737

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.33%chance

298124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8032

4190

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.53%chance

163275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7541

4361

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