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Who will be elected President of Ireland in the next Irish presidential election?

Sep 6, 10:45 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM

165628

OptionProbability

Mairead McGuinness

Catherine Connolly

Michelle Keane

Micheál Martin

Frances Black

Michael McDowell

Linda Martin

Other

Peter Casey

Heather Humphreys

Cynthia Ní Mhurchú

Fintan O’Toole

Seán Kelly

Bertie Ahern

Conor McGregor

Enda Kenny

Fergus Finlay

Gerry Adams

17

17

14

8

6

5

5

5

4

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

Who will be the winner of Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans?

Jun 2, 1:49 PMJun 2, 1:21 PM

11000

OptionProbability

Angelina Keeley

Aubry Bracco

Charlie Davis

Chrissy Hofbeck

Christian Hubicki

Cirie Fields

Coach Wade

Colby Donaldson

Dee Valladares

Emily Flippen

Genevieve Mushaluk

Jenna Lewis

Joe Hunter

Jonathan Young

Kamilla Karthigesu

Mike White

Ozzy Lusth

Q Burdette

Rick Devens

Stephenie LaGrossa

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

Survivor 49 Placeholder [Male Castaway - See Contingency rules]

Survivor 49 Placeholder [Female Castaway - See Contingency rules]

No member of the announced cast [See Contingency rules]

Kyle Fraser

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

1

What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?

Sep 8, 6:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.96%chance

9573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

372

367

If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

Mar 10, 5:05 PMNov 3, 7:59 AM

50.84%chance

20569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

803

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

7.22%chance

12378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

963

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

20.94%chance

9211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

117

South Africa imposes chrome-ore export tax before 2027?

Jul 7, 5:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.95%chance

352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 5

Apr 13, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

Katy Young Yaroslavsky (incumbent)

Other

59

41

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

05

OptionProbability

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

Other

Raul Claros

41

35

24

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