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Prediction markets for Ad Council

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12472

8018

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13837

OptionProbability

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

Lou Calanche

Nelson Grande

Sylvia Robledo

Raul Claros

Elaine Alaniz

Jesus Jesse Rosas

Jesse Rojas

Joseph Lucey

Rosa Requeno

Annalee Harr

Other

44

15

13

12

10

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

3.68%chance

141429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2195

908

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.43%chance

6662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1662

602

What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?

Sep 8, 6:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.96%chance

9573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

372

367

If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

Mar 10, 5:05 PMNov 3, 7:59 AM

50.84%chance

20569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

803

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 5

Apr 13, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3100

OptionProbability

Katy Young Yaroslavsky (incumbent)

Henry Mantel

Morgan Oyler

Other

Ashkan Nazarian

Peter Gerard Kearns

Dory Frank

Eddie Ha

52

13

12

6

5

5

4

3

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