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Prediction markets for Ad Council

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

22.11%chance

910947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18772

5327

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

85.28%chance

103909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2407

415

Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026?

May 17, 12:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

132207

OptionProbability

IdaRose Sylvester

Silja Paymer

Robert Cox

Erik Poicon

Paul Donahue

James Kuszmaul

Alexander Amoroso

Samuel Ali

95

74

68

50

8

6

5

5

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

4.83%chance

141932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

930

What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?

Sep 8, 6:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.96%chance

10588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

372

367

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

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