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Analysts Split on Bitcoin Cycle as New Report Flags Path to $500,000

3 days ago

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.09%chance

124921

OptionVotes

YES

5899

3086

Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Apr 18, 7:05 AMOct 20, 9:59 PM

23.33%chance

233405

OptionVotes

YES

1363

839

Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?

May 25, 5:58 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

17.35%chance

211786

OptionVotes

YES

1391

870

"Trump freezes NIH grants to Princeton in 2025?"

Apr 4, 5:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.22%chance

4205

OptionVotes

YES

1205

830

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Aug 10, 2025
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Analysts Split on Bitcoin Cycle as New Report Flags Path to $500,000
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Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?

Will the largest AI training run in 2025 utilize Sophia, Second-order Clipped Stochastic Optimization?

"Trump freezes NIH grants to Princeton in 2025?"

Latest stories

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