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Prediction markets for Adams

YourMovieSucks.org (Adam) Stock

Nov 15, 2:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12826009

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2899

559

Unkle Adams Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 9:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

3115124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

577

473

Nick Adams (Alpha Male) confirmed as ambassador to Malaysia before 2027?

Dec 13, 4:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.89%chance

44381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2726

368

Will Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:30 PM

43%chance

342962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1252

734

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.84%chance

292111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

503

Adam 22 (Permanent)

Apr 12, 2:25 AMApr 12, 3:59 AM

73.75%chance

7376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

130

Will Isaak Freeman and Adam Marblestone work together?

Dec 23, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.45%chance

2210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

258

16

Will Jose Ricon OR Adam Marblestone OR Ed Boyden OR Steve Horvath OR Jeremy nixon get a pet axolotl by 2032?

Sep 16, 7:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Adam Z. go to prison for the killing of Ewa Tylman?

Feb 21, 9:54 PMDec 22, 10:59 PM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

Is Adam d'Angelo Aspie/autistic?

Oct 19, 6:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

Will Tony Kulesa outlive Adam Marblestone?

Sep 18, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Adam Marblestone win a Kavli Prize by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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