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Prediction markets for Adams

YourMovieSucks.org (Adam) Stock

Nov 15, 2:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12826009

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2899

559

Unkle Adams Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 9:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

3115124

OptionProbability

YES

NO

577

473

Will Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 10:06 AMDec 31, 11:30 PM

33.22%chance

343212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1502

581

By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.84%chance

292111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

503

Will Trump pardon or grant clemency to Eric Adams?

Jan 17, 3:30 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

12.59%chance

5603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

263

38

Adam 22 (Permanent)

Apr 12, 2:25 AMApr 12, 3:59 AM

73.75%chance

7376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

130

Will Isaak Freeman and Adam Marblestone work together?

Dec 23, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.45%chance

2210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

258

16

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Adam Henry marblestone become an Xbox OR guitar hero avatar by 2033

Nov 20, 1:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Will Jose Ricon OR Adam Marblestone OR Ed Boyden OR Steve Horvath OR Jeremy nixon get a pet axolotl by 2032?

Sep 16, 7:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Adam marblestone win a nobel prize by 2070

Jan 22, 10:15 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

45%chance

05

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Adam Z. go to prison for the killing of Ewa Tylman?

Feb 21, 9:54 PMDec 22, 10:59 PM

54.75%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

55

45

Will Adam Marblestone win a Kavli Prize by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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