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Prediction markets for Adaptive

Will the Netflix One Piece live action adaptation be cancelled before a third season?

Sep 4, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.95%chance

447273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3332

650

How many video game adaptations will be released in theaters in 2025?

Dec 19, 6:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

204485

OptionProbability

4 or more

3

2

0

1

96

3

1

0

0

Will the Aikido MLB model be adapted by Silver Bulletin by April 2026?

Aug 20, 9:42 PMApr 16, 3:59 AM

17.52%chance

71532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2170

461

Will Mark Hamill appear in the Netflix One Piece adaptation before the end of 2025?

Sep 23, 3:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.63%chance

81292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

478

Will JK Rowling allow a tv adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality by end of 2030?

May 10, 2:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.42%chance

281212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

919

Major Worm adaptation before 2040? (Movie/TV/Show)

Jun 23, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.15%chance

6347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

674

15

Will Jack Black have a fourth Video Game movie adaptation role by EOY 2025?

Feb 20, 9:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.79%chance

12283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

27

Will the album “Warriors” be adapted as a musical that premieres by 2030?

Nov 30, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.8%chance

5201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1124

890

Will there be a Zelda: Breath of the Wild adaptation for Virtual Reality by end of 2030?

Jan 7, 7:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.85%chance

13109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

970

Will Hunter x Hunter get a new anime adaptation before the end of 2030?

Dec 21, 5:45 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Will a major streaming service adapt A Fire Upon the Deep by Vernor Vinge into a television series by 01/01/2032?

Nov 28, 3:18 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

356

OptionProbability

No.

Yes: Netflix

Yes: Amazon Prime Video

Yes: Apple TV+

Yes: Disney+

Yes: HBO Max

Yes: Hulu

Yes: Paramount+

Yes: Peacock

Other

77

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will Ranma 1/2 (2024) fully adapt the manga?

Nov 21, 3:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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