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Top stories

Genentech Ends $2 Billion Cancer Cell Therapy Deal With Adaptive Biotechnologies After $310 Million Paid Since 2018

Authors

6

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Adaptive

Will the Netflix One Piece live action adaptation be cancelled before a third season?

Sep 4, 8:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.98%chance

4615926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2929

677

Will Mark Hamill appear in the Netflix One Piece adaptation before the end of 2025?

Sep 23, 3:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.33%chance

105581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4702

213

How many video game adaptations will be released in theaters in 2025?

Dec 19, 6:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

204985

OptionProbability

4 or more

3

0

1

2

97

2

0

0

0

Will the Aikido MLB model be adapted by Silver Bulletin by April 2026?

Aug 20, 9:42 PMApr 16, 3:59 AM

6.11%chance

73282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3920

255

Will JK Rowling allow a tv adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality by end of 2030?

May 10, 2:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.42%chance

281212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

919

Which SciFi/Fantasy books will be adapted into movies or TV series by the end of the 2020s?

Jan 6, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

221200

OptionProbability

Project Hail Mary

Hyperion

Children of Blood and Bone

Old Man's War

The Amulet of Samarkand

Fourth Wing

Mistborn

The Player of Games

A Fire Upon the Deep

The Lies of Locke Lamora

Permutation City

Revelation Space

The Final Empire

The Blade Itself

Assassin's Apprentice

The Way of Kings

Ancillary Justice

The Name of the Wind

The Mote in God's Eye

Use of Weapons

Consider Phlebas

A Deepness in the Sky

Shards of Honor

The Left Hand of Darkness

The Forever War

Blindsight

Consider Phlebas

Stranger in a Strange Land

The Shadow of the Torturer

The Diamond Age

Kushiel's Dart

Rant: The Oral Biography of Buster Casey

We Are Legion

The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect

Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality

99

74

64

62

50

50

50

50

46

46

44

43

41

41

41

41

39

36

34

30

30

30

28

27

25

25

22

21

20

16

15

13

13

10

4

Will Rational Animations adapt another Scott Alexander post before the end of 2025?

Jul 26, 5:02 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

7.85%chance

12525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

371

8

Will a film adaptation of "Remarkably Bright Creatures" by Shelby Van Pelt be released by the end of 2025?

Apr 14, 2:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.83%chance

3446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

69

Will the album “Warriors” be adapted as a musical that premieres by 2030?

Nov 30, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.8%chance

5201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1124

890

Will there be a Zelda: Breath of the Wild adaptation for Virtual Reality by end of 2030?

Jan 7, 7:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.85%chance

13109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

970

Will Hunter x Hunter get a new anime adaptation before the end of 2030?

Dec 21, 5:45 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

Will one of John Allison's comics get adapted into a movie or tv show before 2031? (Scary Go Round, Giant Days, etc)

May 5, 5:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

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Genentech Ends $2 Billion Cancer Cell Therapy Deal With Adaptive Biotechnologies After $310 Million Paid Since 2018
Authors
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4 months ago

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