OptionProbability
OpenAI/Microsoft
Deepmind/Google/Alphabet
Anthropic
xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative
Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)
A government or coalition of governments
Meta (Facebook) AI Research
A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these
29
24
12
10
9
6
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1981
134
1928
630
313
77
2029
2027
49
39
