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Prediction markets for ADI

Aditya finishes Stanford undergrad by 2028?

Jul 6, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:49 PM

6%chance

157874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1614

117

Adin Ross Stock (Permanent)

Feb 26, 11:24 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12740

OptionProbability

YES

NO

281

208

Will Yogi Adityanath become PM of India before 2035?

Sep 27, 10:09 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

46.7%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

116

Will @adic_9, Henry Bass, Jose Luis Ricon, janus/repligate, Claire Wang, and autism hexafluoride all BURNING MAN togethe

Jul 27, 5:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

3140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will the Adidas Backpack I bought last till Nov. 1 2026? (4 years from purchase)

Nov 5, 6:37 PMNov 1, 11:59 PM

51.77%chance

8136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

114

Is adic_9 psychic?

Sep 28, 5:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.32%chance

5125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Will @adic_9 turn into a comedian by 2045?

Aug 9, 4:51 PMAug 17, 3:59 AM

29.78%chance

155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

By 2040, will compressors that are closer to isothermal than adiabatic be in widespread commercial use?

Aug 8, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

88

57

Will Jose Luis Ricon, @adic_9, Henry Bass, Geffen Avraham,and Claire Wang all play an escape room together by 2030?

Jul 29, 9:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.53%chance

112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will someone write a new diamond age book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will @adic_9, Henry Bass, Chris Lakin, Jose Ricon, Claire Wang, and autism hexafluoride all go on a CRUISE together?

Jul 27, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will janus/repligate, Alex Zhu,gaspode,gwern, JDP, qiaochu, adic_9 all be written into final fantasy game/fanfic by 2029

Jun 11, 7:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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