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Prediction markets for ADI

Will @adic_9, Henry Bass, Jose Luis Ricon, janus/repligate, Claire Wang, and autism hexafluoride all BURNING MAN togethe

Jul 27, 5:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

3140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will the Adidas Backpack I bought last till Nov. 1 2026? (4 years from purchase)

Nov 5, 6:37 PMNov 1, 11:59 PM

51.77%chance

8136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

114

Is adic_9 psychic?

Sep 28, 5:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19.32%chance

5125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Will @adic_9 turn into a comedian by 2045?

Aug 9, 4:51 PMAug 17, 3:59 AM

29.78%chance

155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Will mason, Jose Luis Ricon, Evan Lin, Henry Bass, adic_9, janus/repligate all get to live in a treehouse by 2027?

Jul 27, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will Yoyo Yuan, Barton Rhodes, @viemccoy, @adic_9, Jose Ricon, and Jacob Cole all go SAILING together?

Aug 26, 1:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will @adic_9, Henry Bass, Evan Lin, Chris Lakin, Claire, and autism hexafluoride all live in a CABIN together?

Jul 27, 5:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Do adic_9 and Yoyo Yuan all have the same DnD alignment type?

Aug 28, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.16%chance

26

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will janus/repligate, Alex Zhu,gaspode,gwern, JDP, qiaochu, adic_9 all be written into final fantasy game/fanfic by 2029

Jun 11, 7:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will someone write a new Sophie's world book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, @adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will someone write a new diamond age book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will @adic_9, Henry (@arithmoquine), Chris Lakin, Claire Wang, and autism hexafluoride all CIRCLE together?

Jul 27, 5:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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