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Prediction markets for ADM

Admiral Agenda Stock

May 2, 2:35 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

232123687

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1880

1704

Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?

Feb 27, 4:46 AMJan 20, 2:59 AM

9.52%chance

7845402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30821

3245

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM

19.09%chance

7621508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1566

92

Which university will I be admitted into?

Sep 18, 3:22 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM

2816672

OptionProbability

Oxford or Cambridge

Georgia Tech

UC San Diego

Any Ivy League school

University of Michigan - Ann Arbor

Cambridge

Oxford

I decide not to go to university for 2026-2027

UC Berkeley

Yale

Princeton

MIT

Harvard

46

35

34

31

28

26

22

18

18

15

14

10

8

Will legacy admissions be abolished at any Ivy League college before 2030?

Jul 2, 4:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

39.7%chance

10013965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1335

1047

Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?

Mar 17, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.63%chance

647475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

827

Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?

Jun 29, 7:18 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

756000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

1146

Will the 51st state be admitted before the 51st president takes office?

Sep 3, 6:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25.31%chance

352861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1718

582

If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?

Mar 13, 6:06 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM

19.1%chance

121623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2497

499

Will DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?

Jan 21, 10:22 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

41.13%chance

261275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

574

William Baude admitted to Supreme Court Bar by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.2%chance

6820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10578

9454

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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