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Prediction markets for Advanced Energy Industries

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Mar 19, 8:55 AMDec 31, 7:00 PM

4.13%chance

5212065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2215

890

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.93%chance

171609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

980

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

26.25%chance

24984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

157

By the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.

Aug 6, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.33%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

965

Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?

May 9, 8:02 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

61.3%chance

4165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

Which positive news category will make 2026 world-wide headlines?

Dec 24, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4102

OptionProbability

Geopolitics

Technology

Economy

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Environment and sustainability

Art and culture

Society

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Space Exploration

Human Rights

76

76

75

74

50

50

50

50

50

34

34

US achieves nuclear reactor buildout goals by July 4, 2026?

Jun 30, 3:29 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

37.69%chance

343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

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