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Prediction markets for Advanced Visualization

OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?

Feb 11, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.95%chance

13613497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1459

685

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

50.98%chance

9206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

119

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.76%chance

11140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

98

Will Ukraine bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 1, 5:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

74.66%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

74

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

25.68%chance

570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

81

Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Aug 3, 10:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

62.63%chance

659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

75

Will Algeria bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Aug 3, 10:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.67%chance

327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

97

83

Will Brazil bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jul 2, 9:16 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

34.74%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

54

Will Guyana bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jan 14, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Connectome of jumping spider or a Portia spider by 2031

May 12, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Indonesia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 5, 7:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.96%chance

12

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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