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Prediction markets for Advent

Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?

Aug 29, 10:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.77%chance

10916674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1505

729

Will the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?

Dec 8, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.69%chance

18912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1692

700

Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?

Oct 31, 7:05 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

31.19%chance

13361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

929

Will Adventure Time: Fionna and Cake be renewed for a 3rd season in 2026?

Mar 4, 2:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

8185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Will Nintendo announce a spiritual successor to Ring Fit Adventure for Switch 2 in 2026?

Dec 11, 1:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.07%chance

2142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

81

[Hololive English -Advent-] Which talent will leave Hololive last?

Jan 23, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3110

OptionProbability

Mococo Abyssgard

Fuwawa Abyssgard

Shiori Novella

Koseki Bijou

Nerissa Ravencroft

32

30

14

14

11

Will there be another game published by Nintendo that uses the Ring Fit Adventure's ring?

Aug 14, 4:41 AMAug 15, 5:59 AM

43%chance

564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

87

Will the number of prostitutes in Germany increase or decrease in the five years after the advent of AGI?

Apr 8, 4:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

449

OptionProbability

Increase

Decrease

52

48

Exit valuation of Advent (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:35 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

Will the Mattel Adventure Park in Arizona still be open in 2035?

Apr 23, 5:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45.06%chance

524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

151

Will there be a mountain from a country that wasn’t previously in Grand Mountain Adventure 1 in GMA 2 by 2027?

May 26, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.7%chance

19

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will Toon Lagoon at Universal Studios Islands of Adventure still have a bunch of old comic strip characters in 2029?

Oct 4, 7:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

26

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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