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Prediction markets for AEC

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

95

94

69

64

62

59

39

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM

50.03%chance

12249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Pauline Hanson run for the house (not senate) in the 2028 Australian election?

May 25, 1:18 PMJul 1, 12:59 AM

46.62%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

935

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