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Top stories

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

7 months ago

Prediction markets for AFP

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2158150

OptionProbability

No

Yes

97

3

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.72%chance

14124712

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1593

628

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.99%chance

6814011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

516

140

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.31%chance

467164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

940

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.01%chance

412724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

169

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Mar 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23%chance

312128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

883

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.07%chance

8241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

33

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

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