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Top stories

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for AFP

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28167065

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.56%chance

15528098

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1444

693

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.65%chance

8216345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

138

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.18%chance

508624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

935

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Mar 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13%chance

425115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

868

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.36%chance

492879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

151

Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?

Apr 3, 5:21 PMNov 5, 12:00 AM

34.81%chance

302116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

140

Will NATO cease to exist before 2030?

Jun 24, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.33%chance

10507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

539

19

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.5%chance

9253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?

Jul 25, 1:17 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

Will Jean-Jacques Goldman appear in any form during Celine Dion's Paris La Defense Arena concerts (Sep-Oct 2026)?

May 3, 8:17 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

49.61%chance

431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

23

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