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Top stories

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for AFP

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40208432

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.43%chance

15528322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1317

759

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.33%chance

8617343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1462

95

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.61%chance

5310397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1134

941

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Mar 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.48%chance

445364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1478

875

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25%chance

502929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

136

Trump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Aug 20, 4:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.9%chance

302429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2071

483

Will France cut off funding to Ukraine in 2027?

Oct 18, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.89%chance

14743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

748

Will NATO cease to exist before 2030?

Jun 24, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.74%chance

11519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

31

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.08%chance

13498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

485

21

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?

Jul 25, 1:17 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

74

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