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Top stories

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

4 months ago

Prediction markets for AFP

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?

Mar 3, 3:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.54%chance

6817177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5294

788

[Glimt] Will Russian gas supplies resume through the Nord Stream pipelines in 2025?

Jan 16, 7:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.4%chance

1410834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8379

119

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.45%chance

295701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

132

Major laboratory safety breach involving mirror life research reported before 2026?

Dec 13, 2:54 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

3.19%chance

84970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5512

181

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.6%chance

333193

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

614

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37.57%chance

372686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

171

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Mar 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.9%chance

20985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

749

Will the Turkish delegates trying to enter Gaza to help retrieve dead hostages continue to be blocked by Israel?

Nov 1, 8:02 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

94.64%chance

2320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

420

24

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.3%chance

6155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

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