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Prediction markets for AFR

Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?

Jul 1, 10:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.99%chance

1066636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

1122

Will there be more rhinos in Africa in 2025 than 2022?

Sep 23, 4:44 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

94.56%chance

183184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3698

608

Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?

Apr 7, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.61%chance

161032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

764

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Jan 25, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.03%chance

17964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

938

African Savanna Elephant (Loxodonta africana) Extinct by 2100?

Feb 21, 7:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.75%chance

14607

OptionVotes

YES

NO

749

404

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Jun 2, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.41%chance

6529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1444

692

Will there be evidence of at least 5000 mixed Chinese-Africans born in Africa through 2030?

Sep 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.81%chance

16471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

883

Will the African Wild Dog (Lycaon pictus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.26%chance

8441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

636

237

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.14%chance

13366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

920

Will the ANC lose power in South Africa before 2035?

Oct 19, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.58%chance

13349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1166

929

Will the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) become Extinct by 2100?

Feb 21, 7:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.2%chance

11259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

604

383

Will an African nation or African company successfully land on the Moon before Jan 1st 2040?

Nov 27, 5:16 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.05%chance

12203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

955

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