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Prediction markets for AFR

Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?

Jul 1, 10:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.16%chance

1066685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

1074

Is African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?

Dec 6, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:08 PM

32.74%chance

101255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1433

698

Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?

Aug 13, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.85%chance

71129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

482

Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?

Apr 7, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.87%chance

181057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

769

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Jan 25, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.39%chance

171014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

912

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Jun 2, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.88%chance

8654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1569

637

Will there be evidence of at least 5000 mixed Chinese-Africans born in Africa through 2030?

Sep 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.49%chance

17551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

919

Will the African Wild Dog (Lycaon pictus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 8:38 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.55%chance

8467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

662

213

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.64%chance

14391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

945

Will the ANC lose power in South Africa before 2035?

Oct 19, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.79%chance

14359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

926

Will an African nation or African company successfully land on the Moon before Jan 1st 2040?

Nov 27, 5:16 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

15.83%chance

13213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

965

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.19%chance

3112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

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