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Prediction markets for AFR

Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?

Jul 1, 10:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.16%chance

1066685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

1074

Is African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?

Dec 6, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:08 PM

26.08%chance

111505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1683

594

Prospera breaks ground on an African charter city project before EOY 2028?

Aug 13, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.85%chance

71129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

482

Will any country in Africa other than South Africa fully legalize gay marriage by the end of 2030?

Apr 7, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.9%chance

191077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

789

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Jan 25, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.39%chance

171014

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

912

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Jun 2, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.88%chance

8654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1569

637

Will there be evidence of at least 5000 mixed Chinese-Africans born in Africa through 2030?

Sep 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.49%chance

17551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

919

Will Senegal be officially reinstated as champions of the Africa Cup of Nations?

Mar 23, 6:39 AMJun 23, 5:32 AM

40.26%chance

5460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

326

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.51%chance

15401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

902

Will the ANC lose power in South Africa before 2035?

Oct 19, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.79%chance

14359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

926

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

4151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?

Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

41.9%chance

2120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

954

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