African Union News

Will Africa be a global power house in the nest few months

Mar 14, 4:20 PMJun 30, 2:01 PM

13.98%chance

4410604

OptionVotes

YES

2481

403

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

Will there be a new currency union in Africa by 2040?

Sep 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

67.77%chance

10567

OptionVotes

YES

170

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8472

OptionProbability

0–1

4 +

The African Union with be a major world player in and of itself by Jan 1 2030

Apr 1, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.89%chance

7396

OptionVotes

YES

316

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.73%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

215

Will any African countries federate/merge by 2040?

Sep 4, 10:25 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

58.08%chance

10287

OptionVotes

YES

141

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?

Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.73%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

1000

980

Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?

Apr 19, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

799

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 21, 3:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.88%chance

450

OptionVotes

YES

122

How are G20 countries going to deal with demographic decline? [Suggest more options]

Apr 27, 10:35 AMJan 1, 9:58 AM

311

OptionProbability

Raising the statutory retirement age significantly. OR any other Major restructuring of pension and healthcare systems to ensure solvency

Increased investment in automation and AI to compensate for labor shortages

Increased implementation of pro-natalist financial incentives and subsidies. OR Increased central support for work-life balance and childcare infrastructure.

Adoption of aggressive pro-immigration policies to boost the workforce

when will there be peace in Sudan and South Sudan? (includes both internal and external conflicts)

Apr 20, 12:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

OptionProbability

2032 and over

2028-2029

2030-2031

2026-2027

African Union News

Prediction markets for African Union

Prediction markets for African Union

Prediction markets for African Union

Will Africa be a global power house in the nest few months

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Will there be a new currency union in Africa by 2040?

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

The African Union with be a major world player in and of itself by Jan 1 2030

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Will any African countries federate/merge by 2040?

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?

Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026?

Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?

How are G20 countries going to deal with demographic decline? [Suggest more options]

when will there be peace in Sudan and South Sudan? (includes both internal and external conflicts)

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