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Prediction markets for African Union

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

63

18

11

9

Will there be a new currency union in Africa by 2040?

Sep 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

67.77%chance

10567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

39

The African Union with be a major world player in and of itself by Jan 1 2030

Apr 1, 3:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.89%chance

7396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

87

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7357

OptionProbability

4 +

3

0–1

2

35

26

21

19

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

9.06%chance

2253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

32

Will any African countries federate/merge by 2040?

Sep 4, 10:25 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.91%chance

8247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

101

The Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?

Feb 8, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.73%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

980

Will at least 40 countries recognize the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic on Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 21, 3:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.88%chance

450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

68

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