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Top stories

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Authors

4

5 months ago

Prediction markets for AFT

Was a CCP spy present at The Curve or afterparty

Nov 27, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.41%chance

2725114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5322

188

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?

Apr 19, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.52%chance

979646

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2026

1870

If AI wipes out humanity, will mana still have value afterwards?

Jul 13, 11:18 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.11%chance

272291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

983

Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War

Oct 14, 1:18 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

11%chance

111038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

367

23

If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 year afterwards?

Nov 7, 3:48 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.15%chance

11417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

62

If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 10 years afterwards?

Nov 7, 3:49 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

11.26%chance

12386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

308

42

Who, if anyone, will emerge as an authoritarian leader figure in the Martian Revolution or its immediate aftermath?

Jan 31, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5141

OptionProbability

No authoritarian leader emerges

Axel Cartwright

Alexandra Claire

Mabel Dore

Booth Gonzalez

Other

55

9

9

9

9

9

If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 month afterwards?

Nov 7, 3:48 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.07%chance

8116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

62

If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 day afterwards?

Nov 7, 3:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.29%chance

799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

68

37

If I donate a kidney, will I regret it 1 week afterwards?

Nov 7, 3:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

29.72%chance

885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

100

Are ancient afterlife myths interpretations of near death experiences?

Oct 20, 2:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.9%chance

427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

78

HPMOR after/before Harry Potter

Sep 14, 4:56 PM

560

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