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Prediction markets for Age

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

Nov 24, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39%chance

259260233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2102

2077

By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?

Nov 19, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12%chance

392241011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3847

3582

Will @firstuserhere live upto the age of 420?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJun 16, 6:29 PM

15%chance

3241371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

979

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Apr 10, 12:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.75%chance

15119264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1600

1594

One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025

Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.13%chance

2813985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20852

5932

Will aging be cured by 2100?

Mar 16, 3:27 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

56.14%chance

444672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

839

By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?

Feb 16, 6:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.49%chance

394663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

750

202

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?

Feb 5, 10:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.5%chance

353704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

979

By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?

Feb 16, 6:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.28%chance

283648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

180

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Feb 5, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

282549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2669

1544

By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?

Feb 16, 6:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.9%chance

232507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

206

118

If Leonardo DiCaprio has a girlfriend after Vittoria Ceretti, will she be less than half DiCaprio's age at the time?

Mar 10, 7:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.38%chance

27558

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2247

1847

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