OptionVotes
YES
NO
1115
897
OptionProbability
3 years: Someone will build a new browser using mainly AI-assisted coding and it won’t even be a surprise
1 year: We’re finally going to solve sandboxing
1 year: Kākāpō parrots will have an outstanding breeding season
3 years: the coding agents Jevons paradox for software engineering will resolve, one way or the other
1 year: It will become undeniable that LLMs write good code
6 years: Typing code by hand will go the way of punch cards
1 year: A “Challenger disaster” for coding agent security
100
50
46
40
35
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2025
13
6
