DeepNewz, mobile.

People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story list view.

Search

For You

AGI News

Footer

AI

AI Fundraising
AI Modeling
AI Products

Business

Automobile
Company Earnings
Economics
Law
Prediction Markets
Real Estate
Rumors
Stocks
VC

Crypto

Airdrops
Blockchains
CBDCs
DeFi
Hacks
Markets
Memecoin
Mining
NFT
Regulation

Culture

Anime
Celebrities
Crime
Education
Movies
Music
Obituary
TV
Video Games

Environment

Climate
Energy
Natural Disasters
Natural Resources
Sustainability

Politics

DOGE
Epstein Files
Executive Orders
Tariffs
US Domestic Policy
US Elections
US Foreign Policy
US Gov Appointments
US Judiciary
US Legislation
War

Science

Archeology
Bio
Health
Math
Pharma
Physics
Space

Sports

Boxing
Chess
Cricket
Golf
Hockey
MLB
NBA
NCAA
NFL
Olympics
PGA
Poker
Racing
Rugby
Soccer
Tennis
UFC

Tech

AR-VR
Fintech
Infosec
IoT
Metaverse
Policy
Robotics
Smart Home
Software
Startups
Wearables

United States

Arizona
Boston
California
Chicago
Colorado
Detroit
Florida
Georgia
Las Vegas
Los Angeles
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Seattle
Texas
Utah
Washington DC

World

Terms of Service

WhatsApp YouTube X

© 2026 DeepNFTValue, Inc. All rights reserved.

Top stories

Meta Restructures AI Division Into Four Teams With $1B Hiring Spree, Midjourney Partnership, and Alexandr Wang Leading Superintelligence Effort

Meta Restructures AI Division Into Four Teams With $1B Hiring Spree, Midjourney Partnership, and Alexandr Wang Leading Superintelligence Effort

Authors

40

1 year ago

Prediction markets for AGI

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Mar 27, 12:37 AMMar 22, 6:59 AM

10751133284

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2028-2029

2030-2031

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

2027-2028

2035-2036

2049-2050

2036-2037

2037-2038

2038-2039

2026-2027

2039-2040

2040-2041

2041-2042

2042-2043

2043-2044

2044-2045

2045-2046

2046-2047

2047-2048

2048-2049

2024-2025

2025-2026

12

10

9

9

8

7

6

4

4

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will we get AGI before 2027?

Dec 9, 4:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3%chance

312235021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5550

721

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.56%chance

154223270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

58291

46413

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Dec 8, 7:32 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

16.86%chance

317161571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1527

920

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Dec 7, 10:20 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

37.81%chance

321132600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1284

1087

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18%chance

259111680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2185

443

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Dec 8, 12:38 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.09%chance

274100650

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

965

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.33%chance

9558194

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144253

69986

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.36%chance

12437063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14097

6644

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.59%chance

10310880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3425

1696

Will there be an international moratorium on frontier AGI development by EOY 2033?

Mar 24, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.6%chance

154159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13624

8759

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Apr 22, 2:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

49.65%chance

461868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

111

Latest stories