AI Blocks News

USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Feb 28, 6:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

18.78%chance

25283426

OptionVotes

YES

2080

481

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

74%chance

8628068

OptionVotes

YES

1687

593

Will Artemis II fly before Starship Flight 12?

Jan 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.14%chance

5617995

OptionVotes

YES

1255

797

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Dec 18, 8:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

87.85%chance

10810124

OptionVotes

YES

2433

678

Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?

Feb 13, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.75%chance

224093

OptionVotes

YES

1005

995

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Mar 14, 11:02 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

70.03%chance

722785

OptionVotes

YES

1725

976

Will the Gordie Howe Bridge open to traffic in 2026?

Feb 10, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.29%chance

42478

OptionVotes

YES

2408

415

Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?

Feb 24, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.57%chance

152183

OptionVotes

YES

1907

524

Will a machine/ai uprising occur by 2044?

May 11, 11:04 AMJun 10, 8:59 PM

20.3%chance

271192

OptionVotes

YES

1074

957

xAI (props)

Mar 7, 11:36 AMMar 7, 11:36 AM

9888

OptionProbability

Grok-5 publicly released by August 1, 2026

Grok-5 utilizes a multi-agent architecture composed of several LLMs like Grok-4.2

Grok Imagine supports 1080p 30s videos by September 30, 2026

xAI's Macrohard publicly deploys agent workflows (AI agents emulating a digital company) that generate revenue directly (not via API) by December 31, 2026

Colossus supercluster hits 1.5GW by May 1, 2026

xAI publicly deploys a multi-agent AI system (multiple collaborating agents emulating digital humans) by December 31, 2026

xAI model holds #1 on Prediction Arena leaderboard on or before June 1, 2026

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

AI to help design validation systems based on personal blockchains by 2050

Jun 8, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

AI Blocks News

Prediction markets for AI Blocks

Prediction markets for AI Blocks

Prediction markets for AI Blocks

USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Will Artemis II fly before Starship Flight 12?

Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?

Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?

Will the Gordie Howe Bridge open to traffic in 2026?

Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?

Will a machine/ai uprising occur by 2044?

xAI (props)

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

AI to help design validation systems based on personal blockchains by 2050

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