AI Consult News

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.87%chance

10835737

OptionVotes

YES

3423

409

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.44%chance

555211

OptionVotes

YES

1461

556

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Dec 18, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.29%chance

263713

OptionVotes

YES

2206

461

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

YES

1159

926

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

17%chance

172785

OptionVotes

YES

2225

456

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

19949

OptionProbability

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

Other

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?

May 11, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.09%chance

4790

OptionVotes

YES

1691

591

Will an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?

Mar 19, 1:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.51%chance

29644

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Nov 25, 9:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.54%chance

5431

OptionVotes

YES

1290

775

Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?

Nov 21, 9:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.53%chance

15424

OptionVotes

YES

1156

934

Will there be a publicly explicated Scientific Theory of Deep Learning before 2032?

May 2, 9:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.38%chance

7223

OptionVotes

YES

1166

858

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

Dec 5, 10:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

193

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Prediction markets for AI Consult

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will at least 25% of US retail investors report using an AI agent for an investment-related task by the end of 2027?

Will an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?

Will there be a publicly explicated Scientific Theory of Deep Learning before 2032?

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

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