AI Consult News

OpenAI, Penda Health Copilot Cuts Clinic Diagnostic Errors by 16%

9 days ago

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Jan 25, 12:24 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

21426846

OptionVotes

YES

4896

1014

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.44%chance

5217397

OptionVotes

YES

1023

871

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.12%chance

5512961

OptionVotes

YES

2155

621

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.03%chance

545201

OptionVotes

YES

1451

563

Will some U.S. consultants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Jan 4, 5:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.21%chance

434820

OptionVotes

YES

1665

531

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Next year will I think that AI is better than me at math?

Dec 21, 4:35 PMDec 29, 7:59 AM

66.82%chance

282214

OptionVotes

YES

1419

705

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Mar 31, 9:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

40.77%chance

201028

OptionVotes

YES

1428

418

Will "Safety consultations for AI lab employees" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 28, 4:37 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.8%chance

11000

OptionVotes

YES

1993

894

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11713

OptionProbability

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

Other

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is used for drug discovery

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

Dec 5, 10:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

193

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Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will some U.S. consultants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Next year will I think that AI is better than me at math?

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Will "Safety consultations for AI lab employees" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

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