AI Consult News

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Jan 25, 12:24 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.91%chance

21928356

OptionVotes

YES

4160

1161

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

85.55%chance

5613045

OptionVotes

YES

2573

538

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.44%chance

555211

OptionVotes

YES

1461

556

Will some U.S. consultants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Jan 4, 5:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.21%chance

434820

OptionVotes

YES

1665

531

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Dec 18, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

243103

OptionVotes

YES

1732

577

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Mar 31, 9:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

10.47%chance

232028

OptionVotes

YES

2422

120

Will "Safety consultations for AI lab employees" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 28, 4:37 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.8%chance

11000

OptionVotes

YES

1993

894

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13813

OptionProbability

Other

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Nov 25, 9:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.54%chance

5431

OptionVotes

YES

1290

775

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

Dec 5, 10:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

193

AI Consult News

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Will some U.S. consultants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Will "Safety consultations for AI lab employees" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

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