AI Consult News

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

90%chance

5613141

OptionVotes

YES

3243

446

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

Jul 4, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.44%chance

555211

OptionVotes

YES

1461

556

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Dec 18, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.87%chance

253413

OptionVotes

YES

1906

534

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

162690

OptionVotes

YES

2075

489

Will AI regulations that include mechanisms for uncovering AI deception be adopted in the U.S. before 2035?

Nov 1, 1:12 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.41%chance

191003

OptionVotes

YES

1001

979

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14863

OptionProbability

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

Other

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2030?

Mar 31, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

83.15%chance

13495

OptionVotes

YES

1298

915

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Nov 25, 9:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.54%chance

5431

OptionVotes

YES

1290

775

Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?

Nov 21, 9:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.53%chance

15424

OptionVotes

YES

1156

934

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

Dec 5, 10:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

75%chance

681

OptionVotes

YES

193

AI Consult News

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Prediction markets for AI Consult

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?

Will AI regulations that include mechanisms for uncovering AI deception be adopted in the U.S. before 2035?

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2030?

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Will the first AGI be built by Sam Altman?

Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?

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