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Prediction markets for AI Fraud Task Force

In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?

Dec 15, 7:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

211632

OptionProbability

Labor > Deepfakes > Catastrophic

Labor > Catastrophic > Deepfakes

Catastrophic > Labor > Deepfakes

Deepfakes > Labor > Catastrophic

Deepfakes > Catastrophic > Labor

Catastrophic > Deepfakes > Labor

42

35

9

7

4

3

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