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AI Infrastructure Engineers News
Prediction markets for AI Infrastructure Engineers
Prediction markets for AI Infrastructure Engineers
Will a frontier model score above 90% on the APEX-SWE benchmark before 2028?
Mar 26, 10:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
71.03%
chance
9
1028
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1566
639
Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
Jun 25, 1:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
1%
chance
13
891
Option
Votes
YES
NO
331
1
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.21%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1015
943
Will an "AGI insider" class accept the political disempowerment of everyone else?
Aug 8, 9:03 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
62.65%
chance
4
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
77
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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