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Prediction markets for AI Infrastructure Engineers
Prediction markets for AI Infrastructure Engineers
Will a frontier model score above 90% on the APEX-SWE benchmark before 2028?
Mar 26, 10:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
71.03%
chance
9
1028
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1566
639
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.59%
chance
12
744
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1031
884
Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
Jun 25, 1:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
82.8%
chance
2
16
Option
Votes
NO
YES
116
96
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