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Prediction markets for AI Squared

The End of the Russia–Ukraine War in 2026

Jan 30, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

231729

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before Dec 2026

Before Oct 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Feb 2026

Before Apr 2026

14

12

5

4

2

1

1

Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)?

Jul 4, 2:52 PMDec 14, 4:59 AM

23.13%chance

17638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

207

Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035?

Aug 6, 3:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.1%chance

16484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

320

31

Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?

Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.27%chance

6339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will Jack Harlow be purchase a cottage in 2027?

Mar 19, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.23%chance

3131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will Section 230(c) of the Communications Decency Act be significantly amended or repealed by December 31, 2026?

Oct 24, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.72%chance

3124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

54

How many people will attend the Unite the Kingdom march on 16 May in London?

May 13, 9:22 PMMay 13, 10:59 PM

277

OptionProbability

100,000 - 249,999

50,000 - 99,999

0 - 9,999

10,000 - 49,999

250,000 - 499,999

500,000 - 749,999

750,000 - 1,000,000

Above 1,000,000

37

33

6

6

5

5

5

5

Will the Square Kilometer Array detect biosignature by the end of 2050 ?

Jul 19, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Zohran Mamdani raps again

Jan 6, 4:15 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

13.46%chance

231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

98

NBA: Will the New York Knicks cover the -5.5 point spread against the 76ers on Oct 20?

Aug 22, 4:14 AMOct 20, 11:59 PM

52%chance

119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the 2 World Trade Center be completed by EOY 2031?

Feb 26, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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