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Prediction markets for Aim Security

Trump deport people in 2025?

Apr 18, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

115729

OptionProbability

500,000 - 749,999

750,000 - 999,999

250,000 - 499,999

1,000,000+

Below 30,000

30,000 - 99,999

100,000 - 249,999

76

9

6

5

1

1

1

Will Figure AI be found to be fraudulent by 2026?

May 18, 6:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.58%chance

265640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2523

396

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.03%chance

175141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4347

230

Will Manifold Markets be blocked in Brazil before 2026?

Sep 20, 4:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

10%chance

92575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2598

88

What countries would join Abraham Accords in 2025

Oct 13, 8:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

192324

OptionProbability

None

Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

Armenia

Syria

Lebanon

Qatar

78

20

18

6

6

5

3

2

2

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.75%chance

151050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

940

Next female F1 driver what year?

Jul 27, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4820

OptionProbability

2030-2039

Other

2029

2028

2027

2025

2026

39

37

13

6

3

1

1

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

Mar 25, 1:45 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

35.72%chance

7767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1341

745

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

Will the UK declare a special economic zone before 2035?

May 11, 1:55 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

45.67%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?

Apr 28, 1:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.2%chance

6116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

146

Manchester City Premiership Probability above 30% at EOY2025

Jun 30, 5:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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